Tim Cook's April 2026 announcement to step down as Apple CEO effective September 1—transitioning to executive chairman with hardware SVP John Ternus succeeding him—has locked in trader consensus at 100% implied probability for his departure before year-end, amid broader AI-driven leadership shifts seen in exits at Disney, Adobe, and Walmart earlier this year. Sam Altman's OpenAI outcome leads remaining probabilities at 22%, buoyed by stable funding and enterprise AI focus, while Brian Armstrong (Coinbase, 12%) faces scrutiny from recent 14% layoffs for AI efficiency without exit signals. Subdued odds across Andy Jassy (Amazon, 10%), Dan Clancy (Twitch, 9%), and Sundar Pichai (Google, 3%) reflect absent credible rumors, with Q2 earnings calls and AI conferences as key catalysts through December.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$691,572 Vol.

Sam Altman - OpenAI
19%

Andy Jassy - Amazon
11%

Brian Armstrong - Coinbase
12%

Dan Clancy - Twitch
9%

Sundar Pichai - Google
3%
$691,572 Vol.

Sam Altman - OpenAI
19%

Andy Jassy - Amazon
11%

Brian Armstrong - Coinbase
12%

Dan Clancy - Twitch
9%

Sundar Pichai - Google
3%
An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.
Mercato aperto: Nov 18, 2025, 10:41 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Tim Cook's April 2026 announcement to step down as Apple CEO effective September 1—transitioning to executive chairman with hardware SVP John Ternus succeeding him—has locked in trader consensus at 100% implied probability for his departure before year-end, amid broader AI-driven leadership shifts seen in exits at Disney, Adobe, and Walmart earlier this year. Sam Altman's OpenAI outcome leads remaining probabilities at 22%, buoyed by stable funding and enterprise AI focus, while Brian Armstrong (Coinbase, 12%) faces scrutiny from recent 14% layoffs for AI efficiency without exit signals. Subdued odds across Andy Jassy (Amazon, 10%), Dan Clancy (Twitch, 9%), and Sundar Pichai (Google, 3%) reflect absent credible rumors, with Q2 earnings calls and AI conferences as key catalysts through December.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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