Wisconsin's 2nd Congressional District remains a solidly Democratic seat anchored by Madison and surrounding areas, where the partisan voting index favors Democrats by more than 20 points. Incumbent Representative Mark Pocan faces minimal opposition in the August 11 primary and general election cycle, consistent with prior cycles that delivered Democratic margins exceeding 30 points. Fundraising, voter registration trends, and absence of viable Republican challengers reinforce trader consensus around a Democratic outcome. A late scandal, health development affecting the incumbent, or unusually strong national Republican wave could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and current structural advantages make such shifts unlikely before November 3.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoWI-02 Vincitore delle elezioni presidenziali
WI-02 Vincitore delle elezioni presidenziali
$99,786 Vol.
$99,786 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Democratico
95%
Partito Repubblicano
2%
$99,786 Vol.
$99,786 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Democratico
$60,506 Vol.
95%
Partito Repubblicano
$39,281 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wisconsin's 2nd Congressional District remains a solidly Democratic seat anchored by Madison and surrounding areas, where the partisan voting index favors Democrats by more than 20 points. Incumbent Representative Mark Pocan faces minimal opposition in the August 11 primary and general election cycle, consistent with prior cycles that delivered Democratic margins exceeding 30 points. Fundraising, voter registration trends, and absence of viable Republican challengers reinforce trader consensus around a Democratic outcome. A late scandal, health development affecting the incumbent, or unusually strong national Republican wave could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and current structural advantages make such shifts unlikely before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$99,786Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wisconsin's 2nd Congressional District remains a solidly Democratic seat anchored by Madison and surrounding areas, where the partisan voting index favors Democrats by more than 20 points. Incumbent Representative Mark Pocan faces minimal opposition in the August 11 primary and general election cycle, consistent with prior cycles that delivered Democratic margins exceeding 30 points. Fundraising, voter registration trends, and absence of viable Republican challengers reinforce trader consensus around a Democratic outcome. A late scandal, health development affecting the incumbent, or unusually strong national Republican wave could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and current structural advantages make such shifts unlikely before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$99,786Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Wisconsin's 2nd Congressional District remains a solidly Democratic seat anchored by Madison and surrounding areas, where the partisan voting index favors Democrats by more than 20 points. Incumbent Representative Mark Pocan faces minimal opposition in the August 11 primary and general election cycle, consistent with prior cycles that delivered Democratic margins exceeding 30 points. Fundraising, voter registration trends, and absence of viable Republican challengers reinforce trader consensus around a Democratic outcome. A late scandal, health development affecting the incumbent, or unusually strong national Republican wave could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and current structural advantages make such shifts unlikely before November 3.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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