Justice Samuel Alito, age 76, has directly addressed retirement speculation by stating in an August 2026 Wall Street Journal interview that he is “here for another term,” following an erroneous NPR report in June claiming an imminent departure. Sources close to the justice indicate he is hiring clerks for the 2026 term and intends to serve into 2027 at minimum, amid earlier spring 2026 discussions of White House encouragement for vacancies while Republicans control the Senate. Trader consensus reflects these statements and procedural patterns, with markets pricing near-term announcements (such as before September 2026) at very low implied probabilities. Key variables include the justice’s health, the start of the new Supreme Court term, and any shifts in Senate dynamics before potential later windows.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSamuel Alito annuncerà il suo ritiro entro...?
Samuel Alito annuncerà il suo ritiro entro...?
$3,450,759 Vol.
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30 settembre
2%
31 dicembre
6%
30 giugno 2027
37%
$3,450,759 Vol.
30 settembre
$988,495 Vol.
2%
31 dicembre
$813,355 Vol.
6%
30 giugno 2027
$47,245 Vol.
37%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.
Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.Justice Samuel Alito, age 76, has directly addressed retirement speculation by stating in an August 2026 Wall Street Journal interview that he is “here for another term,” following an erroneous NPR report in June claiming an imminent departure. Sources close to the justice indicate he is hiring clerks for the 2026 term and intends to serve into 2027 at minimum, amid earlier spring 2026 discussions of White House encouragement for vacancies while Republicans control the Senate. Trader consensus reflects these statements and procedural patterns, with markets pricing near-term announcements (such as before September 2026) at very low implied probabilities. Key variables include the justice’s health, the start of the new Supreme Court term, and any shifts in Senate dynamics before potential later windows.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.
Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.
The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.
Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.
Mercato aperto: Jun 30, 2026, 12:48 PM ET
Volume
$3,450,759Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 30, 2026, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.
Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.Justice Samuel Alito, age 76, has directly addressed retirement speculation by stating in an August 2026 Wall Street Journal interview that he is “here for another term,” following an erroneous NPR report in June claiming an imminent departure. Sources close to the justice indicate he is hiring clerks for the 2026 term and intends to serve into 2027 at minimum, amid earlier spring 2026 discussions of White House encouragement for vacancies while Republicans control the Senate. Trader consensus reflects these statements and procedural patterns, with markets pricing near-term announcements (such as before September 2026) at very low implied probabilities. Key variables include the justice’s health, the start of the new Supreme Court term, and any shifts in Senate dynamics before potential later windows.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.
Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.
The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.
Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.
Volume
$3,450,759Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 30, 2026, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Justice Samuel Alito, age 76, has directly addressed retirement speculation by stating in an August 2026 Wall Street Journal interview that he is “here for another term,” following an erroneous NPR report in June claiming an imminent departure. Sources close to the justice indicate he is hiring clerks for the 2026 term and intends to serve into 2027 at minimum, amid earlier spring 2026 discussions of White House encouragement for vacancies while Republicans control the Senate. Trader consensus reflects these statements and procedural patterns, with markets pricing near-term announcements (such as before September 2026) at very low implied probabilities. Key variables include the justice’s health, the start of the new Supreme Court term, and any shifts in Senate dynamics before potential later windows.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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