Recent U.S.-Iran talks, centered on the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum, established a 60-day window for a final agreement covering sanctions relief, Iran's nuclear and missile programs, and Strait of Hormuz navigation. That timeline has since encountered repeated delays amid resumed maritime incidents, U.S. strikes, and disputes over access controls. Earlier UN Security Council resolutions, including Resolution 2817, focused on condemning Iranian actions rather than endorsing comprehensive deals. With core verification and implementation issues unresolved as of mid-August 2026, and permanent members holding divergent positions on enforcement mechanisms, traders assess limited prospects for formal UNSC endorsement of any finalized accord before year-end.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoRisoluzione del Consiglio di sicurezza delle Nazioni Unite che approva l'accordo finale USA-Iran entro il 31 dicembre?
Risoluzione del Consiglio di sicurezza delle Nazioni Unite che approva l'accordo finale USA-Iran entro il 31 dicembre?
Sì
21% probabilità
$157,364 Vol.
$157,364 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sì
21% probabilità
$157,364 Vol.
$157,364 Vol.
31 dic 2026
On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Recent U.S.-Iran talks, centered on the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum, established a 60-day window for a final agreement covering sanctions relief, Iran's nuclear and missile programs, and Strait of Hormuz navigation. That timeline has since encountered repeated delays amid resumed maritime incidents, U.S. strikes, and disputes over access controls. Earlier UN Security Council resolutions, including Resolution 2817, focused on condemning Iranian actions rather than endorsing comprehensive deals. With core verification and implementation issues unresolved as of mid-August 2026, and permanent members holding divergent positions on enforcement mechanisms, traders assess limited prospects for formal UNSC endorsement of any finalized accord before year-end.
On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Jun 23, 2026, 12:51 AM ET
Volume
$157,364Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 23, 2026, 12:51 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Recent U.S.-Iran talks, centered on the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum, established a 60-day window for a final agreement covering sanctions relief, Iran's nuclear and missile programs, and Strait of Hormuz navigation. That timeline has since encountered repeated delays amid resumed maritime incidents, U.S. strikes, and disputes over access controls. Earlier UN Security Council resolutions, including Resolution 2817, focused on condemning Iranian actions rather than endorsing comprehensive deals. With core verification and implementation issues unresolved as of mid-August 2026, and permanent members holding divergent positions on enforcement mechanisms, traders assess limited prospects for formal UNSC endorsement of any finalized accord before year-end.
On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$157,364Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 23, 2026, 12:51 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent U.S.-Iran talks, centered on the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum, established a 60-day window for a final agreement covering sanctions relief, Iran's nuclear and missile programs, and Strait of Hormuz navigation. That timeline has since encountered repeated delays amid resumed maritime incidents, U.S. strikes, and disputes over access controls. Earlier UN Security Council resolutions, including Resolution 2817, focused on condemning Iranian actions rather than endorsing comprehensive deals. With core verification and implementation issues unresolved as of mid-August 2026, and permanent members holding divergent positions on enforcement mechanisms, traders assess limited prospects for formal UNSC endorsement of any finalized accord before year-end.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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