Ukraine’s ongoing martial law, extended by parliament through August 2026, continues to bar presidential elections under constitutional rules, keeping Volodymyr Zelenskyy in office beyond the June 30, 2026 resolution date. This legal structure, combined with the absence of any ceasefire or security guarantees that would allow voting, underpins the 95.4% trader consensus against his removal. Recent military reforms and diplomatic contacts with the United States have not altered the wartime prohibition on polls. A sudden negotiated ceasefire or Zelenskyy’s voluntary resignation before the cutoff remain the only plausible developments that could shift the outcome.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
$249,547 Vol.
$249,547 Vol.
Sì
$249,547 Vol.
$249,547 Vol.
An announcement of Volodymyr Zelenskyy's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Dec 17, 2025, 5:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An announcement of Volodymyr Zelenskyy's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Ukraine’s ongoing martial law, extended by parliament through August 2026, continues to bar presidential elections under constitutional rules, keeping Volodymyr Zelenskyy in office beyond the June 30, 2026 resolution date. This legal structure, combined with the absence of any ceasefire or security guarantees that would allow voting, underpins the 95.4% trader consensus against his removal. Recent military reforms and diplomatic contacts with the United States have not altered the wartime prohibition on polls. A sudden negotiated ceasefire or Zelenskyy’s voluntary resignation before the cutoff remain the only plausible developments that could shift the outcome.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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