Russian forces have conducted repeated assaults toward Vasylivka, northwest of Pokrovsk in Donetsk Oblast, achieving incremental advances nearby such as near Hryshyne but failing to enter the settlement itself according to ISW maps as of mid-May 2026. DeepState analysts updated maps on May 11 showing marginal Russian progress adjacent to Vasylivka, while Ukraine's General Staff reported repelling 32 attacks there amid 210 nationwide clashes on May 13, underscoring sustained frontline pressure without breakthroughs. Over the past 30 days, Russian operations in the Pokrovsk direction have slowed overall per ISW, hampered by Ukrainian defenses and attrition tactics. Traders monitor for potential escalation post the May 9-11 Victory Day ceasefire, with resolution depending on persistent ISW-shaded Russian control of any Vasylivka territory by May 31.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa Russia entrerà a Vasylivka entro...?
La Russia entrerà a Vasylivka entro...?
$61,218 Vol.
31 mag 2026
31 maggio
31%
$61,218 Vol.
31 maggio
$18,946 Vol.
31%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Vasylivka, Donetsk Oblast, (48.357760° N, 37.038017° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.Russian forces have conducted repeated assaults toward Vasylivka, northwest of Pokrovsk in Donetsk Oblast, achieving incremental advances nearby such as near Hryshyne but failing to enter the settlement itself according to ISW maps as of mid-May 2026. DeepState analysts updated maps on May 11 showing marginal Russian progress adjacent to Vasylivka, while Ukraine's General Staff reported repelling 32 attacks there amid 210 nationwide clashes on May 13, underscoring sustained frontline pressure without breakthroughs. Over the past 30 days, Russian operations in the Pokrovsk direction have slowed overall per ISW, hampered by Ukrainian defenses and attrition tactics. Traders monitor for potential escalation post the May 9-11 Victory Day ceasefire, with resolution depending on persistent ISW-shaded Russian control of any Vasylivka territory by May 31.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Vasylivka, Donetsk Oblast, (48.357760° N, 37.038017° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Apr 22, 2026, 12:36 PM ET
Volume
$61,218Data di fine
31 mag 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 22, 2026, 12:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Vasylivka, Donetsk Oblast, (48.357760° N, 37.038017° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.Russian forces have conducted repeated assaults toward Vasylivka, northwest of Pokrovsk in Donetsk Oblast, achieving incremental advances nearby such as near Hryshyne but failing to enter the settlement itself according to ISW maps as of mid-May 2026. DeepState analysts updated maps on May 11 showing marginal Russian progress adjacent to Vasylivka, while Ukraine's General Staff reported repelling 32 attacks there amid 210 nationwide clashes on May 13, underscoring sustained frontline pressure without breakthroughs. Over the past 30 days, Russian operations in the Pokrovsk direction have slowed overall per ISW, hampered by Ukrainian defenses and attrition tactics. Traders monitor for potential escalation post the May 9-11 Victory Day ceasefire, with resolution depending on persistent ISW-shaded Russian control of any Vasylivka territory by May 31.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Vasylivka, Donetsk Oblast, (48.357760° N, 37.038017° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Volume
$61,218Data di fine
31 mag 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 22, 2026, 12:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Russian forces have conducted repeated assaults toward Vasylivka, northwest of Pokrovsk in Donetsk Oblast, achieving incremental advances nearby such as near Hryshyne but failing to enter the settlement itself according to ISW maps as of mid-May 2026. DeepState analysts updated maps on May 11 showing marginal Russian progress adjacent to Vasylivka, while Ukraine's General Staff reported repelling 32 attacks there amid 210 nationwide clashes on May 13, underscoring sustained frontline pressure without breakthroughs. Over the past 30 days, Russian operations in the Pokrovsk direction have slowed overall per ISW, hampered by Ukrainian defenses and attrition tactics. Traders monitor for potential escalation post the May 9-11 Victory Day ceasefire, with resolution depending on persistent ISW-shaded Russian control of any Vasylivka territory by May 31.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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