No EU member state has invoked Article 50 or scheduled a binding referendum on withdrawal, sustaining trader consensus on a low likelihood of any exit by the end of 2026. Recent developments include the dismissal of Polexit rumors in Poland amid stable pro-EU polling, February 2026 Frexit demonstrations in France that produced no legislative momentum, and Hungary's continued focus on blocking Ukraine's accession rather than its own departure. Speculation around U.S. efforts to influence Italy, Austria, Poland, and Hungary has yielded no formal diplomatic shifts or domestic policy changes. Deep economic integration and institutional barriers continue to outweigh isolated eurosceptic activity across the bloc.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日2027年までにEUから脱退する国はありますか？
2027年までにEUから脱退する国はありますか？
はい
$138,680 Vol.
$138,680 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
$138,680 Vol.
$138,680 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any European Union (EU) member state withdraws from the EU by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An EU member state will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or formally notify the European Council of their intention to withdraw, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Union and EU member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.No EU member state has invoked Article 50 or scheduled a binding referendum on withdrawal, sustaining trader consensus on a low likelihood of any exit by the end of 2026. Recent developments include the dismissal of Polexit rumors in Poland amid stable pro-EU polling, February 2026 Frexit demonstrations in France that produced no legislative momentum, and Hungary's continued focus on blocking Ukraine's accession rather than its own departure. Speculation around U.S. efforts to influence Italy, Austria, Poland, and Hungary has yielded no formal diplomatic shifts or domestic policy changes. Deep economic integration and institutional barriers continue to outweigh isolated eurosceptic activity across the bloc.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any European Union (EU) member state withdraws from the EU by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An EU member state will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or formally notify the European Council of their intention to withdraw, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Union and EU member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An EU member state will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or formally notify the European Council of their intention to withdraw, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Union and EU member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Dec 7, 2025, 7:10 PM ET
音量
$138,680終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Dec 7, 2025, 7:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any European Union (EU) member state withdraws from the EU by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An EU member state will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or formally notify the European Council of their intention to withdraw, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Union and EU member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.No EU member state has invoked Article 50 or scheduled a binding referendum on withdrawal, sustaining trader consensus on a low likelihood of any exit by the end of 2026. Recent developments include the dismissal of Polexit rumors in Poland amid stable pro-EU polling, February 2026 Frexit demonstrations in France that produced no legislative momentum, and Hungary's continued focus on blocking Ukraine's accession rather than its own departure. Speculation around U.S. efforts to influence Italy, Austria, Poland, and Hungary has yielded no formal diplomatic shifts or domestic policy changes. Deep economic integration and institutional barriers continue to outweigh isolated eurosceptic activity across the bloc.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any European Union (EU) member state withdraws from the EU by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An EU member state will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or formally notify the European Council of their intention to withdraw, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Union and EU member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An EU member state will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or formally notify the European Council of their intention to withdraw, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Union and EU member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$138,680終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Dec 7, 2025, 7:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...No EU member state has invoked Article 50 or scheduled a binding referendum on withdrawal, sustaining trader consensus on a low likelihood of any exit by the end of 2026. Recent developments include the dismissal of Polexit rumors in Poland amid stable pro-EU polling, February 2026 Frexit demonstrations in France that produced no legislative momentum, and Hungary's continued focus on blocking Ukraine's accession rather than its own departure. Speculation around U.S. efforts to influence Italy, Austria, Poland, and Hungary has yielded no formal diplomatic shifts or domestic policy changes. Deep economic integration and institutional barriers continue to outweigh isolated eurosceptic activity across the bloc.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問