Incumbent Republican French Hill secured his party's nomination for Arkansas's 2nd Congressional District after defeating primary challenger Chase McDowell, positioning him to defend the seat in the November 2026 general election. The central Arkansas district, which includes Little Rock and surrounding counties, carries a Republican tilt reflected in recent redistricting and French Hill's 2024 victory margin. Democrat Chris Jones, the 2022 gubernatorial nominee, won his primary but faces structural headwinds in a district rated solidly Republican by forecasters. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district's voting history, limited Democratic competitiveness in recent cycles, and the typical advantages of House incumbency absent major shifts in polling or campaign dynamics before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日AR-02 House Election Winner
AR-02 House Election Winner
新規
新規
2026/11/03
Republican Party
89%
Democratic Party
12%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
Republican Party
$2,388 Vol.
89%
Democratic Party
$5,930 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican French Hill secured his party's nomination for Arkansas's 2nd Congressional District after defeating primary challenger Chase McDowell, positioning him to defend the seat in the November 2026 general election. The central Arkansas district, which includes Little Rock and surrounding counties, carries a Republican tilt reflected in recent redistricting and French Hill's 2024 victory margin. Democrat Chris Jones, the 2022 gubernatorial nominee, won his primary but faces structural headwinds in a district rated solidly Republican by forecasters. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district's voting history, limited Democratic competitiveness in recent cycles, and the typical advantages of House incumbency absent major shifts in polling or campaign dynamics before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
音量
$8,319終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican French Hill secured his party's nomination for Arkansas's 2nd Congressional District after defeating primary challenger Chase McDowell, positioning him to defend the seat in the November 2026 general election. The central Arkansas district, which includes Little Rock and surrounding counties, carries a Republican tilt reflected in recent redistricting and French Hill's 2024 victory margin. Democrat Chris Jones, the 2022 gubernatorial nominee, won his primary but faces structural headwinds in a district rated solidly Republican by forecasters. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district's voting history, limited Democratic competitiveness in recent cycles, and the typical advantages of House incumbency absent major shifts in polling or campaign dynamics before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$8,319終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican French Hill secured his party's nomination for Arkansas's 2nd Congressional District after defeating primary challenger Chase McDowell, positioning him to defend the seat in the November 2026 general election. The central Arkansas district, which includes Little Rock and surrounding counties, carries a Republican tilt reflected in recent redistricting and French Hill's 2024 victory margin. Democrat Chris Jones, the 2022 gubernatorial nominee, won his primary but faces structural headwinds in a district rated solidly Republican by forecasters. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district's voting history, limited Democratic competitiveness in recent cycles, and the typical advantages of House incumbency absent major shifts in polling or campaign dynamics before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問