Strong trader consensus for no change at the Bank of Japan's July 30–31 meeting stems from the widely anticipated 25 basis point hike to 1.0% delivered at the June 15–16 gathering, which already lifted the policy rate to its highest level since 1995. Recent economic data showed underlying CPI inflation approaching the 2% target amid energy price pressures from Middle East developments, supporting the gradual normalization path outlined in the June statement. Markets price in a measured pace of further adjustments, with the next potential move more likely in the fourth quarter rather than consecutive meetings. Key upcoming catalysts include the July Quarterly Outlook Report, fresh inflation and wage figures, and any shifts in yen volatility or global risk sentiment that could alter the board's assessment of accommodative conditions.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日No change 96.1%
25 bps increase 3.9%
50+ bps increase <1%
50+ bps decrease <1%
$78,135 Vol.
$78,135 Vol.
2026/07/31
50+ bps decrease
<1%
25 bps decrease
<1%
No change
96%
25 bps increase
4%
50+ bps increase
1%
No change 96.1%
25 bps increase 3.9%
50+ bps increase <1%
50+ bps decrease <1%
$78,135 Vol.
$78,135 Vol.
2026/07/31
50+ bps decrease
$7,654 Vol.
<1%
25 bps decrease
$7,107 Vol.
<1%
No change
$30,006 Vol.
96%
25 bps increase
$15,953 Vol.
4%
50+ bps increase
$17,415 Vol.
1%
The Statement on Monetary Policy for the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy meeting for July is scheduled to be released on July 31, 2026 (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm).
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's July 2026 meeting.
If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Strong trader consensus for no change at the Bank of Japan's July 30–31 meeting stems from the widely anticipated 25 basis point hike to 1.0% delivered at the June 15–16 gathering, which already lifted the policy rate to its highest level since 1995. Recent economic data showed underlying CPI inflation approaching the 2% target amid energy price pressures from Middle East developments, supporting the gradual normalization path outlined in the June statement. Markets price in a measured pace of further adjustments, with the next potential move more likely in the fourth quarter rather than consecutive meetings. Key upcoming catalysts include the July Quarterly Outlook Report, fresh inflation and wage figures, and any shifts in yen volatility or global risk sentiment that could alter the board's assessment of accommodative conditions.
The Statement on Monetary Policy for the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy meeting for July is scheduled to be released on July 31, 2026 (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm).
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's July 2026 meeting.
If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's July 2026 meeting.
If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
マーケット開始日： Apr 28, 2026, 7:07 PM ET
音量
$78,135終了日
2026/07/31マーケット開始日
Apr 28, 2026, 7:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Statement on Monetary Policy for the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy meeting for July is scheduled to be released on July 31, 2026 (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm).
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's July 2026 meeting.
If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Strong trader consensus for no change at the Bank of Japan's July 30–31 meeting stems from the widely anticipated 25 basis point hike to 1.0% delivered at the June 15–16 gathering, which already lifted the policy rate to its highest level since 1995. Recent economic data showed underlying CPI inflation approaching the 2% target amid energy price pressures from Middle East developments, supporting the gradual normalization path outlined in the June statement. Markets price in a measured pace of further adjustments, with the next potential move more likely in the fourth quarter rather than consecutive meetings. Key upcoming catalysts include the July Quarterly Outlook Report, fresh inflation and wage figures, and any shifts in yen volatility or global risk sentiment that could alter the board's assessment of accommodative conditions.
The Statement on Monetary Policy for the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy meeting for July is scheduled to be released on July 31, 2026 (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm).
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's July 2026 meeting.
If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's July 2026 meeting.
If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
音量
$78,135終了日
2026/07/31マーケット開始日
Apr 28, 2026, 7:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Strong trader consensus for no change at the Bank of Japan's July 30–31 meeting stems from the widely anticipated 25 basis point hike to 1.0% delivered at the June 15–16 gathering, which already lifted the policy rate to its highest level since 1995. Recent economic data showed underlying CPI inflation approaching the 2% target amid energy price pressures from Middle East developments, supporting the gradual normalization path outlined in the June statement. Markets price in a measured pace of further adjustments, with the next potential move more likely in the fourth quarter rather than consecutive meetings. Key upcoming catalysts include the July Quarterly Outlook Report, fresh inflation and wage figures, and any shifts in yen volatility or global risk sentiment that could alter the board's assessment of accommodative conditions.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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