Cilia Flores remains in pretrial detention at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn following her January 3, 2026 capture alongside Nicolás Maduro during a U.S. military operation in Caracas. She faces federal charges including narco-terrorism conspiracy and cocaine trafficking, with both entering not guilty pleas at their January 5 arraignment before Judge Alvin Hellerstein. Subsequent hearings occurred in March and on July 22, 2026, with a pretrial conference scheduled for November 17. Trader assessments of release by year-end reflect the pace of proceedings, potential bail applications, plea negotiations, or executive actions, weighed against the gravity of the charges and standard pretrial detention practices in such cases. No release has occurred as of mid-August 2026.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$1,375,004 Vol.
12月31日
17%
$1,375,004 Vol.
12月31日
17%
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日: Jan 3, 2026, 10:23 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Cilia Flores remains in pretrial detention at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn following her January 3, 2026 capture alongside Nicolás Maduro during a U.S. military operation in Caracas. She faces federal charges including narco-terrorism conspiracy and cocaine trafficking, with both entering not guilty pleas at their January 5 arraignment before Judge Alvin Hellerstein. Subsequent hearings occurred in March and on July 22, 2026, with a pretrial conference scheduled for November 17. Trader assessments of release by year-end reflect the pace of proceedings, potential bail applications, plea negotiations, or executive actions, weighed against the gravity of the charges and standard pretrial detention practices in such cases. No release has occurred as of mid-August 2026.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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