Cilia Flores has remained in U.S. federal custody at MDC-Brooklyn since her January 2026 capture alongside Nicolás Maduro during the U.S. military operation in Venezuela and subsequent transfer to face drug-trafficking and narco-terrorism charges in the Southern District of New York. Both pleaded not guilty at arraignment, with pretrial detention ordered and a June 1, 2027 trial date set after a July 2026 hearing; a November 17, 2026 pretrial conference is scheduled next. Trader sentiment on release timelines reflects ongoing legal proceedings, potential bail applications, plea discussions, and speculation about U.S.-Venezuela diplomatic arrangements that could influence custody outcomes before or during the case. Historical patterns in high-profile extradition or narco-related detentions and any shifts in bilateral relations remain key variables for probability assessments.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$1,375,004 Vol.
2026/01/31
12月31日
15%
$1,375,004 Vol.
12月31日
$328,403 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Cilia Flores has remained in U.S. federal custody at MDC-Brooklyn since her January 2026 capture alongside Nicolás Maduro during the U.S. military operation in Venezuela and subsequent transfer to face drug-trafficking and narco-terrorism charges in the Southern District of New York. Both pleaded not guilty at arraignment, with pretrial detention ordered and a June 1, 2027 trial date set after a July 2026 hearing; a November 17, 2026 pretrial conference is scheduled next. Trader sentiment on release timelines reflects ongoing legal proceedings, potential bail applications, plea discussions, and speculation about U.S.-Venezuela diplomatic arrangements that could influence custody outcomes before or during the case. Historical patterns in high-profile extradition or narco-related detentions and any shifts in bilateral relations remain key variables for probability assessments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jan 3, 2026, 10:23 AM ET
音量
$1,375,004終了日
2026/01/31マーケット開始日
Jan 3, 2026, 10:23 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Cilia Flores has remained in U.S. federal custody at MDC-Brooklyn since her January 2026 capture alongside Nicolás Maduro during the U.S. military operation in Venezuela and subsequent transfer to face drug-trafficking and narco-terrorism charges in the Southern District of New York. Both pleaded not guilty at arraignment, with pretrial detention ordered and a June 1, 2027 trial date set after a July 2026 hearing; a November 17, 2026 pretrial conference is scheduled next. Trader sentiment on release timelines reflects ongoing legal proceedings, potential bail applications, plea discussions, and speculation about U.S.-Venezuela diplomatic arrangements that could influence custody outcomes before or during the case. Historical patterns in high-profile extradition or narco-related detentions and any shifts in bilateral relations remain key variables for probability assessments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$1,375,004終了日
2026/01/31マーケット開始日
Jan 3, 2026, 10:23 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Cilia Flores has remained in U.S. federal custody at MDC-Brooklyn since her January 2026 capture alongside Nicolás Maduro during the U.S. military operation in Venezuela and subsequent transfer to face drug-trafficking and narco-terrorism charges in the Southern District of New York. Both pleaded not guilty at arraignment, with pretrial detention ordered and a June 1, 2027 trial date set after a July 2026 hearing; a November 17, 2026 pretrial conference is scheduled next. Trader sentiment on release timelines reflects ongoing legal proceedings, potential bail applications, plea discussions, and speculation about U.S.-Venezuela diplomatic arrangements that could influence custody outcomes before or during the case. Historical patterns in high-profile extradition or narco-related detentions and any shifts in bilateral relations remain key variables for probability assessments.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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