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icon for キューバ全国のインターネット/停電によって... ?

キューバ全国のインターネット/停電によって... ?

icon for キューバ全国のインターネット/停電によって... ?

キューバ全国のインターネット/停電によって... ?

新規
2026/07/31
Polymarket

$2,375 Vol.

Polymarket

7月31日

$1,733 Vol.

42%

8月31日

$468 Vol.

76%

12月31日

$174 Vol.

84%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Cloudflare reports a Nationwide internet outage in Cuba, caused by a power outage, which begins any time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying outage must be labeled by Cloudflare on its Cuba page (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/cu), under the Internet Outages section with Type “Nationwide” and Cause “Power Outage”. However, if Cloudflare changes its reporting terminology or organization, an entry with equivalent labels indicating a nationwide internet outage caused by a power outage will qualify. A qualifying outage must begin, per Cloudflare's reported start time, by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. However, the qualifying label need not be published by then: if Cloudflare reports an outage or internet disruption which is ongoing or has ended within the previous 48 hours at 11:59 PM UTC on the listed date, this market will remain open until 11:59 PM UTC on the third calendar day following the specified date to allow for confirmation of whether the incident qualifies. If no potentially qualifying outage has been reported by Cloudflare by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC, this market will resolve to “No” at that time. This market will resolve to 'Yes' as soon as Cloudflare reports a qualifying outage within the applicable resolution period, including an outage whose labels are revised to qualify within that period. The resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/cu). Note: this market does not require Cuba's internet traffic volume to fall below any specific threshold. Cuba’s repeated nationwide blackouts in 2026 stem from acute fuel shortages that have left its aging thermoelectric plants unable to meet demand, with the island producing only about 40 percent of required fuel. A U.S. oil embargo has sharply curtailed imports, compounding long-standing maintenance shortfalls and triggering at least five total grid collapses this year. The most recent occurred on July 14, the third in roughly two weeks, after a generating unit failure caused a sudden frequency drop that knocked the entire National Electric System offline. These outages routinely disrupt telecommunications infrastructure, producing simultaneous internet blackouts across the island. Traders are tracking whether fuel deliveries, plant repairs, or further mechanical failures shift the frequency of such events before any market resolution date.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Cloudflare reports a Nationwide internet outage in Cuba, caused by a power outage, which begins any time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A qualifying outage must be labeled by Cloudflare on its Cuba page (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/cu), under the Internet Outages section with Type “Nationwide” and Cause “Power Outage”. However, if Cloudflare changes its reporting terminology or organization, an entry with equivalent labels indicating a nationwide internet outage caused by a power outage will qualify.

A qualifying outage must begin, per Cloudflare's reported start time, by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. However, the qualifying label need not be published by then: if Cloudflare reports an outage or internet disruption which is ongoing or has ended within the previous 48 hours at 11:59 PM UTC on the listed date, this market will remain open until 11:59 PM UTC on the third calendar day following the specified date to allow for confirmation of whether the incident qualifies. If no potentially qualifying outage has been reported by Cloudflare by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC, this market will resolve to “No” at that time.

This market will resolve to 'Yes' as soon as Cloudflare reports a qualifying outage within the applicable resolution period, including an outage whose labels are revised to qualify within that period.

The resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/cu).

Note: this market does not require Cuba's internet traffic volume to fall below any specific threshold.
音量
$2,375
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Jul 20, 2026, 4:41 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Cloudflare reports a Nationwide internet outage in Cuba, caused by a power outage, which begins any time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying outage must be labeled by Cloudflare on its Cuba page (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/cu), under the Internet Outages section with Type “Nationwide” and Cause “Power Outage”. However, if Cloudflare changes its reporting terminology or organization, an entry with equivalent labels indicating a nationwide internet outage caused by a power outage will qualify. A qualifying outage must begin, per Cloudflare's reported start time, by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. However, the qualifying label need not be published by then: if Cloudflare reports an outage or internet disruption which is ongoing or has ended within the previous 48 hours at 11:59 PM UTC on the listed date, this market will remain open until 11:59 PM UTC on the third calendar day following the specified date to allow for confirmation of whether the incident qualifies. If no potentially qualifying outage has been reported by Cloudflare by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC, this market will resolve to “No” at that time. This market will resolve to 'Yes' as soon as Cloudflare reports a qualifying outage within the applicable resolution period, including an outage whose labels are revised to qualify within that period. The resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/cu). Note: this market does not require Cuba's internet traffic volume to fall below any specific threshold.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Cloudflare reports a Nationwide internet outage in Cuba, caused by a power outage, which begins any time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying outage must be labeled by Cloudflare on its Cuba page (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/cu), under the Internet Outages section with Type “Nationwide” and Cause “Power Outage”. However, if Cloudflare changes its reporting terminology or organization, an entry with equivalent labels indicating a nationwide internet outage caused by a power outage will qualify. A qualifying outage must begin, per Cloudflare's reported start time, by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. However, the qualifying label need not be published by then: if Cloudflare reports an outage or internet disruption which is ongoing or has ended within the previous 48 hours at 11:59 PM UTC on the listed date, this market will remain open until 11:59 PM UTC on the third calendar day following the specified date to allow for confirmation of whether the incident qualifies. If no potentially qualifying outage has been reported by Cloudflare by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC, this market will resolve to “No” at that time. This market will resolve to 'Yes' as soon as Cloudflare reports a qualifying outage within the applicable resolution period, including an outage whose labels are revised to qualify within that period. The resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/cu). Note: this market does not require Cuba's internet traffic volume to fall below any specific threshold. Cuba’s repeated nationwide blackouts in 2026 stem from acute fuel shortages that have left its aging thermoelectric plants unable to meet demand, with the island producing only about 40 percent of required fuel. A U.S. oil embargo has sharply curtailed imports, compounding long-standing maintenance shortfalls and triggering at least five total grid collapses this year. The most recent occurred on July 14, the third in roughly two weeks, after a generating unit failure caused a sudden frequency drop that knocked the entire National Electric System offline. These outages routinely disrupt telecommunications infrastructure, producing simultaneous internet blackouts across the island. Traders are tracking whether fuel deliveries, plant repairs, or further mechanical failures shift the frequency of such events before any market resolution date.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Cloudflare reports a Nationwide internet outage in Cuba, caused by a power outage, which begins any time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A qualifying outage must be labeled by Cloudflare on its Cuba page (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/cu), under the Internet Outages section with Type “Nationwide” and Cause “Power Outage”. However, if Cloudflare changes its reporting terminology or organization, an entry with equivalent labels indicating a nationwide internet outage caused by a power outage will qualify.

A qualifying outage must begin, per Cloudflare's reported start time, by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. However, the qualifying label need not be published by then: if Cloudflare reports an outage or internet disruption which is ongoing or has ended within the previous 48 hours at 11:59 PM UTC on the listed date, this market will remain open until 11:59 PM UTC on the third calendar day following the specified date to allow for confirmation of whether the incident qualifies. If no potentially qualifying outage has been reported by Cloudflare by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC, this market will resolve to “No” at that time.

This market will resolve to 'Yes' as soon as Cloudflare reports a qualifying outage within the applicable resolution period, including an outage whose labels are revised to qualify within that period.

The resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/cu).

Note: this market does not require Cuba's internet traffic volume to fall below any specific threshold.
音量
$2,375
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Jul 20, 2026, 4:41 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Cloudflare reports a Nationwide internet outage in Cuba, caused by a power outage, which begins any time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying outage must be labeled by Cloudflare on its Cuba page (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/cu), under the Internet Outages section with Type “Nationwide” and Cause “Power Outage”. However, if Cloudflare changes its reporting terminology or organization, an entry with equivalent labels indicating a nationwide internet outage caused by a power outage will qualify. A qualifying outage must begin, per Cloudflare's reported start time, by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. However, the qualifying label need not be published by then: if Cloudflare reports an outage or internet disruption which is ongoing or has ended within the previous 48 hours at 11:59 PM UTC on the listed date, this market will remain open until 11:59 PM UTC on the third calendar day following the specified date to allow for confirmation of whether the incident qualifies. If no potentially qualifying outage has been reported by Cloudflare by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC, this market will resolve to “No” at that time. This market will resolve to 'Yes' as soon as Cloudflare reports a qualifying outage within the applicable resolution period, including an outage whose labels are revised to qualify within that period. The resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/cu). Note: this market does not require Cuba's internet traffic volume to fall below any specific threshold.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「キューバ全国のインターネット/停電によって... ?」はPolymarket上の3個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「12月31日」で84%、次いで「8月31日」が76%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、84¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に84%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「キューバ全国のインターネット/停電によって... ?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Jul 20, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「キューバ全国のインターネット/停電によって... ?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている3個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「キューバ全国のインターネット/停電によって... ?」の現在のフロントランナーは「12月31日」で84%であり、市場がこの結果に84%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「8月31日」で76%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「キューバ全国のインターネット/停電によって... ?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。