Elon Musk's steady posting cadence on X over the past three days has anchored trader consensus around the 90-114 range, with his typical mix of replies, quotes, and original commentary on Tesla FSD, Grok features, and political topics keeping daily volume near 45 posts. Trackers show roughly 89 tweets logged through midday August 22, placing the period on track for the frontrunner bucket without an extreme late surge or sudden quiet period. Historical short-window patterns and the absence of major breaking events that usually trigger posting spikes reinforce the market's near-certain pricing. An upset into higher brackets would require a sustained flurry of activity through the final hours, while a sharp drop-off could push the total below 90.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日90～114 100.0%
40未満 <1%
40〜64 <1%
65〜89 <1%
$1,030,071 Vol.
$1,030,071 Vol.
2026/08/22
40未満
いいえ
40〜64
いいえ
65〜89
いいえ
90～114
はい
115〜139
いいえ
140〜164
いいえ
165〜189
いいえ
190〜214
いいえ
215～239
いいえ
240以上
いいえ
90～114 100.0%
40未満 <1%
40〜64 <1%
65〜89 <1%
$1,030,071 Vol.
$1,030,071 Vol.
2026/08/22
40未満
$86,250 Vol.
いいえ
40〜64
$95,869 Vol.
いいえ
65〜89
$186,085 Vol.
いいえ
90～114
$139,873 Vol.
はい
115〜139
$258,901 Vol.
いいえ
140〜164
$150,215 Vol.
いいえ
165〜189
$64,248 Vol.
いいえ
190〜214
$15,704 Vol.
いいえ
215～239
$14,122 Vol.
いいえ
240以上
$18,803 Vol.
いいえ
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 20 12:00 PM ET to August 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's steady posting cadence on X over the past three days has anchored trader consensus around the 90-114 range, with his typical mix of replies, quotes, and original commentary on Tesla FSD, Grok features, and political topics keeping daily volume near 45 posts. Trackers show roughly 89 tweets logged through midday August 22, placing the period on track for the frontrunner bucket without an extreme late surge or sudden quiet period. Historical short-window patterns and the absence of major breaking events that usually trigger posting spikes reinforce the market's near-certain pricing. An upset into higher brackets would require a sustained flurry of activity through the final hours, while a sharp drop-off could push the total below 90.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 20 12:00 PM ET to August 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
マーケット開始日： Aug 17, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
音量
$1,030,071終了日
2026/08/22マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 12:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 20 12:00 PM ET to August 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's steady posting cadence on X over the past three days has anchored trader consensus around the 90-114 range, with his typical mix of replies, quotes, and original commentary on Tesla FSD, Grok features, and political topics keeping daily volume near 45 posts. Trackers show roughly 89 tweets logged through midday August 22, placing the period on track for the frontrunner bucket without an extreme late surge or sudden quiet period. Historical short-window patterns and the absence of major breaking events that usually trigger posting spikes reinforce the market's near-certain pricing. An upset into higher brackets would require a sustained flurry of activity through the final hours, while a sharp drop-off could push the total below 90.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 20 12:00 PM ET to August 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$1,030,071終了日
2026/08/22マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 12:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Elon Musk's steady posting cadence on X over the past three days has anchored trader consensus around the 90-114 range, with his typical mix of replies, quotes, and original commentary on Tesla FSD, Grok features, and political topics keeping daily volume near 45 posts. Trackers show roughly 89 tweets logged through midday August 22, placing the period on track for the frontrunner bucket without an extreme late surge or sudden quiet period. Historical short-window patterns and the absence of major breaking events that usually trigger posting spikes reinforce the market's near-certain pricing. An upset into higher brackets would require a sustained flurry of activity through the final hours, while a sharp drop-off could push the total below 90.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問