Elon Musk’s posting pace on X remains elevated in mid-June 2026, with daily counts fluctuating between roughly 15 and 100 in the first half of the month and weekly totals already exceeding 230 in one recent stretch. This sustained activity, driven by real-time commentary on policy, technology, and platform developments, supports the clustered probabilities around 880–959 tweets for the full month. The close contest between the two leading bins reflects uncertainty over the remaining twelve days, where business announcements, geopolitical events, or high-engagement topics could add or subtract several dozen posts. Historical patterns show Musk’s volume can swing sharply with news cycles, keeping the implied distribution tight until clearer end-of-month data emerges.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日イーロン・マスクが2026年6月にツイートしましたか？
イーロン・マスクが2026年6月にツイートしましたか？
960〜999 42.6%
920～959 41%
1000〜1039 10.3%
880〜919 7%
$223,460 Vol.
$223,460 Vol.
400未満
<1%
400〜419
<1%
420〜439
<1%
440～459
<1%
460〜479
<1%
480〜499
<1%
500〜519
<1%
520〜539
<1%
540～559
<1%
560〜579
<1%
580〜599
<1%
600～639
<1%
640～679
<1%
680～719
<1%
720〜759
<1%
760～799
<1%
800～839
<1%
840～879
1%
880〜919
7%
920～959
41%
960〜999
43%
1000〜1039
10%
1040〜1079
1%
1080～1119
1%
1120〜1159
<1%
1160～1199
<1%
1200〜1239
<1%
1240〜1279
<1%
1280～1319
<1%
1320〜1359
<1%
1360～1399
<1%
1400以上
<1%
960〜999 42.6%
920～959 41%
1000〜1039 10.3%
880〜919 7%
$223,460 Vol.
$223,460 Vol.
400未満
<1%
400〜419
<1%
420〜439
<1%
440～459
<1%
460〜479
<1%
480〜499
<1%
500〜519
<1%
520〜539
<1%
540～559
<1%
560〜579
<1%
580〜599
<1%
600～639
<1%
640～679
<1%
680～719
<1%
720〜759
<1%
760～799
<1%
800～839
<1%
840～879
1%
880〜919
7%
920～959
41%
960〜999
43%
1000〜1039
10%
1040〜1079
1%
1080～1119
1%
1120〜1159
<1%
1160～1199
<1%
1200〜1239
<1%
1240〜1279
<1%
1280～1319
<1%
1320〜1359
<1%
1360～1399
<1%
1400以上
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
マーケット開始日： Jun 9, 2026, 5:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s posting pace on X remains elevated in mid-June 2026, with daily counts fluctuating between roughly 15 and 100 in the first half of the month and weekly totals already exceeding 230 in one recent stretch. This sustained activity, driven by real-time commentary on policy, technology, and platform developments, supports the clustered probabilities around 880–959 tweets for the full month. The close contest between the two leading bins reflects uncertainty over the remaining twelve days, where business announcements, geopolitical events, or high-engagement topics could add or subtract several dozen posts. Historical patterns show Musk’s volume can swing sharply with news cycles, keeping the implied distribution tight until clearer end-of-month data emerges.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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