Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors "No" at 98.6% implied probability for Epstein or Maxwell being officially confirmed as Mossad operatives by June 30, driven by the persistent absence of verifiable evidence from primary sources like Israeli government statements, declassified intelligence documents, or court rulings despite years of scrutiny, including Maxwell's conviction and recent Epstein file releases. A May 6 interview with Epstein's former lawyer Alan Dershowitz explicitly denied any Mossad or CIA ties, claiming direct confirmation from the agency, while Israeli intelligence officials rejected similar allegations in February amid Ehud Barak connection reports. No fresh diplomatic or legal catalysts have emerged in the past month to suggest imminent confirmation, with the short timeline to resolution reinforcing high confidence in non-occurrence absent a major whistleblower revelation or unexpected declassification.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
$25,601 Vol.
$25,601 Vol.
2026/06/30
はい
$25,601 Vol.
$25,601 Vol.
2026/06/30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if previously unreleased evidence definitively confirming that either Jeffrey Epstein or Ghislaine Maxwell were Mossad operatives is made public by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market ‘operative’ includes any direct involvement in assisting or providing information to Mossad.
Official confirmation from the Trump administration or the Israeli government will qualify as definitive evidence.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors "No" at 98.6% implied probability for Epstein or Maxwell being officially confirmed as Mossad operatives by June 30, driven by the persistent absence of verifiable evidence from primary sources like Israeli government statements, declassified intelligence documents, or court rulings despite years of scrutiny, including Maxwell's conviction and recent Epstein file releases. A May 6 interview with Epstein's former lawyer Alan Dershowitz explicitly denied any Mossad or CIA ties, claiming direct confirmation from the agency, while Israeli intelligence officials rejected similar allegations in February amid Ehud Barak connection reports. No fresh diplomatic or legal catalysts have emerged in the past month to suggest imminent confirmation, with the short timeline to resolution reinforcing high confidence in non-occurrence absent a major whistleblower revelation or unexpected declassification.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if previously unreleased evidence definitively confirming that either Jeffrey Epstein or Ghislaine Maxwell were Mossad operatives is made public by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market ‘operative’ includes any direct involvement in assisting or providing information to Mossad.
Official confirmation from the Trump administration or the Israeli government will qualify as definitive evidence.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purpose of this market ‘operative’ includes any direct involvement in assisting or providing information to Mossad.
Official confirmation from the Trump administration or the Israeli government will qualify as definitive evidence.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Feb 2, 2026, 5:04 PM ET
音量
$25,601終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Feb 2, 2026, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if previously unreleased evidence definitively confirming that either Jeffrey Epstein or Ghislaine Maxwell were Mossad operatives is made public by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market ‘operative’ includes any direct involvement in assisting or providing information to Mossad.
Official confirmation from the Trump administration or the Israeli government will qualify as definitive evidence.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors "No" at 98.6% implied probability for Epstein or Maxwell being officially confirmed as Mossad operatives by June 30, driven by the persistent absence of verifiable evidence from primary sources like Israeli government statements, declassified intelligence documents, or court rulings despite years of scrutiny, including Maxwell's conviction and recent Epstein file releases. A May 6 interview with Epstein's former lawyer Alan Dershowitz explicitly denied any Mossad or CIA ties, claiming direct confirmation from the agency, while Israeli intelligence officials rejected similar allegations in February amid Ehud Barak connection reports. No fresh diplomatic or legal catalysts have emerged in the past month to suggest imminent confirmation, with the short timeline to resolution reinforcing high confidence in non-occurrence absent a major whistleblower revelation or unexpected declassification.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if previously unreleased evidence definitively confirming that either Jeffrey Epstein or Ghislaine Maxwell were Mossad operatives is made public by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market ‘operative’ includes any direct involvement in assisting or providing information to Mossad.
Official confirmation from the Trump administration or the Israeli government will qualify as definitive evidence.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purpose of this market ‘operative’ includes any direct involvement in assisting or providing information to Mossad.
Official confirmation from the Trump administration or the Israeli government will qualify as definitive evidence.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$25,601終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Feb 2, 2026, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors "No" at 98.6% implied probability for Epstein or Maxwell being officially confirmed as Mossad operatives by June 30, driven by the persistent absence of verifiable evidence from primary sources like Israeli government statements, declassified intelligence documents, or court rulings despite years of scrutiny, including Maxwell's conviction and recent Epstein file releases. A May 6 interview with Epstein's former lawyer Alan Dershowitz explicitly denied any Mossad or CIA ties, claiming direct confirmation from the agency, while Israeli intelligence officials rejected similar allegations in February amid Ehud Barak connection reports. No fresh diplomatic or legal catalysts have emerged in the past month to suggest imminent confirmation, with the short timeline to resolution reinforcing high confidence in non-occurrence absent a major whistleblower revelation or unexpected declassification.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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