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政治·トランプ- Xiサミット

トランプ- Xiサミット：中国は5月22日までに何を発表するか？

icon for トランプ- Xiサミット：中国は5月22日までに何を発表するか？
政治·トランプ- Xiサミット

トランプ- Xiサミット：中国は5月22日までに何を発表するか？

$174,026 Vol.

2026/05/22
Polymarket

$174,026 Vol.

Polymarket

ボーイング航空機購入

$74,387 Vol.

39%

米国の大豆購入

$22,978 Vol.

19%

レアアース輸出緩和

$15,640 Vol.

7%

米国の石油購入

$30,786 Vol.

6%

イラン交渉への参加

$30,236 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Xi Jinping, the Chinese government, any authorized representative of the Chinese government announces the purchase of at least one Boeing aircraft by the Chinese state or any Chinese company between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must explicitly indicate that the Chinese government or a Chinese company will purchase or order, or has definitively agreed to purchase or order, at least one Boeing aircraft. Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, general support for diplomacy, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify. Any qualifying purchase or order announced within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the purchase is actually completed or the aircraft is delivered. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Xi Jinping, the Chinese government, or any authorized representative of the Chinese government announces the purchase of U.S. soybeans by the Chinese state or any Chinese company between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must explicitly indicate that the Chinese government or a Chinese company will purchase, or has definitively agreed to purchase, U.S. soybeans. Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, general support for trade cooperation, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify. Any qualifying purchase announced within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the purchase is actually completed or the soybeans are delivered. This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Xi Jinping, the Chinese government, or any authorized representative of the Chinese government announces rare earth export relief for the United States between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Rare earth export relief includes any reduction, removal, or suspension of Chinese export controls or export restrictions affecting the export of rare earth elements, minerals, magnets, or related products to the United States. The extension of an existing Chinese commitment to allow exports of, or suspend export controls on, rare-earth materials to the United States (e.g. the rare earth export deal reached by the United States and China in October 2025) will also qualify. Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify. Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the rare earth export relief goes into effect. This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Xi Jinping, the Chinese government, or any authorized representative of the Chinese government announces the purchase of U.S. oil by the Chinese state or any Chinese company between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must indicate that the Chinese government or a Chinese company will purchase, or has definitively agreed to purchase, U.S. oil. Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify. Any qualifying purchase announced within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the purchase is actually completed or the oil is delivered. This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Xi Jinping, the Chinese government, or any authorized representative of the Chinese government announces that China will participate in or facilitate negotiations between the United States and Iran between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must explicitly indicate that the Chinese government will participate in or facilitate negotiations between the United States and Iran, including by mediating negotiations, hosting a diplomatic meeting, transmitting proposals or messages between the parties, or negotiating with Iran on behalf of the United States. Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, general support for diplomacy, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify. Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the negotiations take place. This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The recent conclusion of the Trump-Xi summit in Beijing on May 15 has focused trader attention on potential Chinese announcements of trade and economic commitments by May 22. U.S. statements highlighted expected Chinese purchases of Boeing aircraft, U.S. agricultural products such as soybeans, and energy resources, alongside the creation of bilateral forums to oversee implementation and extend cooperation on rare earth minerals. Chinese remarks emphasized agreement on a three-year framework for strategic stability, while reiterating positions on Taiwan and regional issues without confirming specific purchase volumes. These developments, following pre-summit previews of agriculture and investment mechanisms, shape expectations around verifiable follow-through on economic deliverables amid ongoing bilateral trade and investment discussions.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Xi Jinping, the Chinese government, or any authorized representative of the Chinese government announces that China will participate in or facilitate negotiations between the United States and Iran between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A qualifying announcement must explicitly indicate that the Chinese government will participate in or facilitate negotiations between the United States and Iran, including by mediating negotiations, hosting a diplomatic meeting, transmitting proposals or messages between the parties, or negotiating with Iran on behalf of the United States.

Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, general support for diplomacy, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.

Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the negotiations take place.

This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$174,026
終了日
2026/05/22
マーケット開始日
May 12, 2026, 10:56 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Xi Jinping, the Chinese government, or any authorized representative of the Chinese government announces that China will participate in or facilitate negotiations between the United States and Iran between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must explicitly indicate that the Chinese government will participate in or facilitate negotiations between the United States and Iran, including by mediating negotiations, hosting a diplomatic meeting, transmitting proposals or messages between the parties, or negotiating with Iran on behalf of the United States. Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, general support for diplomacy, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify. Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the negotiations take place. This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Xi Jinping, the Chinese government, any authorized representative of the Chinese government announces the purchase of at least one Boeing aircraft by the Chinese state or any Chinese company between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must explicitly indicate that the Chinese government or a Chinese company will purchase or order, or has definitively agreed to purchase or order, at least one Boeing aircraft. Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, general support for diplomacy, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify. Any qualifying purchase or order announced within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the purchase is actually completed or the aircraft is delivered. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Xi Jinping, the Chinese government, or any authorized representative of the Chinese government announces the purchase of U.S. soybeans by the Chinese state or any Chinese company between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must explicitly indicate that the Chinese government or a Chinese company will purchase, or has definitively agreed to purchase, U.S. soybeans. Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, general support for trade cooperation, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify. Any qualifying purchase announced within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the purchase is actually completed or the soybeans are delivered. This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Xi Jinping, the Chinese government, or any authorized representative of the Chinese government announces rare earth export relief for the United States between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Rare earth export relief includes any reduction, removal, or suspension of Chinese export controls or export restrictions affecting the export of rare earth elements, minerals, magnets, or related products to the United States. The extension of an existing Chinese commitment to allow exports of, or suspend export controls on, rare-earth materials to the United States (e.g. the rare earth export deal reached by the United States and China in October 2025) will also qualify. Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify. Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the rare earth export relief goes into effect. This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Xi Jinping, the Chinese government, or any authorized representative of the Chinese government announces the purchase of U.S. oil by the Chinese state or any Chinese company between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must indicate that the Chinese government or a Chinese company will purchase, or has definitively agreed to purchase, U.S. oil. Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify. Any qualifying purchase announced within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the purchase is actually completed or the oil is delivered. This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Xi Jinping, the Chinese government, or any authorized representative of the Chinese government announces that China will participate in or facilitate negotiations between the United States and Iran between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must explicitly indicate that the Chinese government will participate in or facilitate negotiations between the United States and Iran, including by mediating negotiations, hosting a diplomatic meeting, transmitting proposals or messages between the parties, or negotiating with Iran on behalf of the United States. Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, general support for diplomacy, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify. Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the negotiations take place. This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The recent conclusion of the Trump-Xi summit in Beijing on May 15 has focused trader attention on potential Chinese announcements of trade and economic commitments by May 22. U.S. statements highlighted expected Chinese purchases of Boeing aircraft, U.S. agricultural products such as soybeans, and energy resources, alongside the creation of bilateral forums to oversee implementation and extend cooperation on rare earth minerals. Chinese remarks emphasized agreement on a three-year framework for strategic stability, while reiterating positions on Taiwan and regional issues without confirming specific purchase volumes. These developments, following pre-summit previews of agriculture and investment mechanisms, shape expectations around verifiable follow-through on economic deliverables amid ongoing bilateral trade and investment discussions.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Xi Jinping, the Chinese government, or any authorized representative of the Chinese government announces that China will participate in or facilitate negotiations between the United States and Iran between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A qualifying announcement must explicitly indicate that the Chinese government will participate in or facilitate negotiations between the United States and Iran, including by mediating negotiations, hosting a diplomatic meeting, transmitting proposals or messages between the parties, or negotiating with Iran on behalf of the United States.

Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, general support for diplomacy, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.

Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the negotiations take place.

This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$174,026
終了日
2026/05/22
マーケット開始日
May 12, 2026, 10:56 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Xi Jinping, the Chinese government, or any authorized representative of the Chinese government announces that China will participate in or facilitate negotiations between the United States and Iran between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must explicitly indicate that the Chinese government will participate in or facilitate negotiations between the United States and Iran, including by mediating negotiations, hosting a diplomatic meeting, transmitting proposals or messages between the parties, or negotiating with Iran on behalf of the United States. Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, general support for diplomacy, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify. Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the negotiations take place. This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「トランプ- Xiサミット：中国は5月22日までに何を発表するか？」はPolymarket上の5個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「ボーイング航空機購入」で39%、次いで「米国の大豆購入」が19%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、39¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に39%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「トランプ- Xiサミット：中国は5月22日までに何を発表するか？」は$174Kの総取引量を生み出しています（May 12, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「トランプ- Xiサミット：中国は5月22日までに何を発表するか？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている5個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「トランプ- Xiサミット：中国は5月22日までに何を発表するか？」の現在のフロントランナーは「ボーイング航空機購入」で39%であり、市場がこの結果に39%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「米国の大豆購入」で19%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「トランプ- Xiサミット：中国は5月22日までに何を発表するか？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。