Polymarket traders overwhelmingly price a 97.9% implied probability of no change to the People's Bank of China's 7-day reverse repo rate through May 31, reflecting strong consensus on policy continuity amid reaffirmed moderately loose monetary stance in the PBOC's May 11 quarterly report. This follows 11 straight months of unchanged Loan Prime Rates (LPRs) in April at 3.0% for one-year and 3.5% for five-year, bolstered by April producer price index rising to a 45-month high, signaling reflation momentum that diminishes easing urgency. Imported inflation risks from surging oil prices further deter cuts or hikes. Realistic challenges include a sharp domestic demand slowdown prompting an LPR cut around May 20 or unexpected deflationary pressures, though current economic aggregates suggest stability holds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日No Change 97.8%
Decrease 2.3%
Increase <1%
新規
新規
2026/05/31
Increase
1%
No Change
98%
Decrease
2%
No Change 97.8%
Decrease 2.3%
Increase <1%
新規
新規
2026/05/31
Increase
$987 Vol.
1%
No Change
$1,836 Vol.
98%
Decrease
$644 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the first change made to the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) 7-day reverse repo rate between May 1 and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time (CST).
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.Polymarket traders overwhelmingly price a 97.9% implied probability of no change to the People's Bank of China's 7-day reverse repo rate through May 31, reflecting strong consensus on policy continuity amid reaffirmed moderately loose monetary stance in the PBOC's May 11 quarterly report. This follows 11 straight months of unchanged Loan Prime Rates (LPRs) in April at 3.0% for one-year and 3.5% for five-year, bolstered by April producer price index rising to a 45-month high, signaling reflation momentum that diminishes easing urgency. Imported inflation risks from surging oil prices further deter cuts or hikes. Realistic challenges include a sharp domestic demand slowdown prompting an LPR cut around May 20 or unexpected deflationary pressures, though current economic aggregates suggest stability holds.
This market will resolve according to the first change made to the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) 7-day reverse repo rate between May 1 and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time (CST).
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ET
音量
$3,466終了日
2026/05/31マーケット開始日
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the first change made to the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) 7-day reverse repo rate between May 1 and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time (CST).
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.Polymarket traders overwhelmingly price a 97.9% implied probability of no change to the People's Bank of China's 7-day reverse repo rate through May 31, reflecting strong consensus on policy continuity amid reaffirmed moderately loose monetary stance in the PBOC's May 11 quarterly report. This follows 11 straight months of unchanged Loan Prime Rates (LPRs) in April at 3.0% for one-year and 3.5% for five-year, bolstered by April producer price index rising to a 45-month high, signaling reflation momentum that diminishes easing urgency. Imported inflation risks from surging oil prices further deter cuts or hikes. Realistic challenges include a sharp domestic demand slowdown prompting an LPR cut around May 20 or unexpected deflationary pressures, though current economic aggregates suggest stability holds.
This market will resolve according to the first change made to the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) 7-day reverse repo rate between May 1 and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time (CST).
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.
音量
$3,466終了日
2026/05/31マーケット開始日
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders overwhelmingly price a 97.9% implied probability of no change to the People's Bank of China's 7-day reverse repo rate through May 31, reflecting strong consensus on policy continuity amid reaffirmed moderately loose monetary stance in the PBOC's May 11 quarterly report. This follows 11 straight months of unchanged Loan Prime Rates (LPRs) in April at 3.0% for one-year and 3.5% for five-year, bolstered by April producer price index rising to a 45-month high, signaling reflation momentum that diminishes easing urgency. Imported inflation risks from surging oil prices further deter cuts or hikes. Realistic challenges include a sharp domestic demand slowdown prompting an LPR cut around May 20 or unexpected deflationary pressures, though current economic aggregates suggest stability holds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問