Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a 10–15 second handshake between President Trump and President Xi Jinping, driven by video footage from their May 14, 2026, Beijing summit welcome ceremony, where the grip lasted visibly around 12 seconds amid mutual arm taps and smiles before bilateral talks. This aligns with historical patterns from their prior encounters, like the October 2025 meeting's extended clasp, reflecting Trump's signature style in high-stakes diplomacy. The near-certainty stems from clear, timestamped media clips shared widely, embodying the wisdom of crowds in real-time assessment. Only a disputed timing from alternative footage or official clarification could challenge this, though none has emerged amid positive summit optics on trade and ties.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日10～15秒 100.0%
握手なし <1%
2秒未満 <1%
2〜6秒 <1%
$1,454,150 Vol.
$1,454,150 Vol.
2026/12/31
握手なし
いいえ
2秒未満
いいえ
2〜6秒
いいえ
6～10秒
いいえ
10～15秒
はい
15秒以上
いいえ
写真のみ
いいえ
10～15秒 100.0%
握手なし <1%
2秒未満 <1%
2〜6秒 <1%
$1,454,150 Vol.
$1,454,150 Vol.
2026/12/31
握手なし
$126,420 Vol.
いいえ
2秒未満
$96,321 Vol.
いいえ
2〜6秒
$157,842 Vol.
いいえ
6～10秒
$313,270 Vol.
いいえ
10～15秒
$250,490 Vol.
はい
15秒以上
$404,985 Vol.
いいえ
写真のみ
$104,824 Vol.
いいえ
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during the day of their next meeting in 2026 (in the local timezone of the location of their next meeting). Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a 10–15 second handshake between President Trump and President Xi Jinping, driven by video footage from their May 14, 2026, Beijing summit welcome ceremony, where the grip lasted visibly around 12 seconds amid mutual arm taps and smiles before bilateral talks. This aligns with historical patterns from their prior encounters, like the October 2025 meeting's extended clasp, reflecting Trump's signature style in high-stakes diplomacy. The near-certainty stems from clear, timestamped media clips shared widely, embodying the wisdom of crowds in real-time assessment. Only a disputed timing from alternative footage or official clarification could challenge this, though none has emerged amid positive summit optics on trade and ties.
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during the day of their next meeting in 2026 (in the local timezone of the location of their next meeting). Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.
マーケット開始日： Feb 10, 2026, 6:58 PM ET
音量
$1,454,150終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Feb 10, 2026, 6:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during the day of their next meeting in 2026 (in the local timezone of the location of their next meeting). Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a 10–15 second handshake between President Trump and President Xi Jinping, driven by video footage from their May 14, 2026, Beijing summit welcome ceremony, where the grip lasted visibly around 12 seconds amid mutual arm taps and smiles before bilateral talks. This aligns with historical patterns from their prior encounters, like the October 2025 meeting's extended clasp, reflecting Trump's signature style in high-stakes diplomacy. The near-certainty stems from clear, timestamped media clips shared widely, embodying the wisdom of crowds in real-time assessment. Only a disputed timing from alternative footage or official clarification could challenge this, though none has emerged amid positive summit optics on trade and ties.
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during the day of their next meeting in 2026 (in the local timezone of the location of their next meeting). Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.
音量
$1,454,150終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Feb 10, 2026, 6:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a 10–15 second handshake between President Trump and President Xi Jinping, driven by video footage from their May 14, 2026, Beijing summit welcome ceremony, where the grip lasted visibly around 12 seconds amid mutual arm taps and smiles before bilateral talks. This aligns with historical patterns from their prior encounters, like the October 2025 meeting's extended clasp, reflecting Trump's signature style in high-stakes diplomacy. The near-certainty stems from clear, timestamped media clips shared widely, embodying the wisdom of crowds in real-time assessment. Only a disputed timing from alternative footage or official clarification could challenge this, though none has emerged amid positive summit optics on trade and ties.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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