OpenAI’s rapid iteration on the GPT-5 family remains the main driver of trader sentiment around a GPT-5.6 release. Just three weeks after the April 23 rollout of GPT-5.5 to ChatGPT and API users, internal routing logs and developer reports confirmed GPT-5.6 entering active testing in Codex, signaling an aggressive monthly cadence rather than the longer gaps seen earlier in the series. This pace reflects competitive pressure from Google’s upcoming Gemini updates and Anthropic’s ongoing model refinements, pushing OpenAI to ship incremental capability gains in reasoning and agentic coding. Traders are now focused on the next catalysts: any official API flags, system-card updates, or quiet ChatGPT rollout in the coming weeks, with historical release patterns and backend activity pointing to a possible early-to-mid June window before broader availability later in the summer.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$51,341 Vol.
2026/05/31
5月22日
<1%
5月31日
9%
June 15
66%
June 30
90%
July 31
94%
$51,341 Vol.
5月22日
$7,375 Vol.
<1%
5月31日
$19,659 Vol.
9%
June 15
$475 Vol.
66%
June 30
$7,896 Vol.
90%
July 31
$2,781 Vol.
94%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI’s rapid iteration on the GPT-5 family remains the main driver of trader sentiment around a GPT-5.6 release. Just three weeks after the April 23 rollout of GPT-5.5 to ChatGPT and API users, internal routing logs and developer reports confirmed GPT-5.6 entering active testing in Codex, signaling an aggressive monthly cadence rather than the longer gaps seen earlier in the series. This pace reflects competitive pressure from Google’s upcoming Gemini updates and Anthropic’s ongoing model refinements, pushing OpenAI to ship incremental capability gains in reasoning and agentic coding. Traders are now focused on the next catalysts: any official API flags, system-card updates, or quiet ChatGPT rollout in the coming weeks, with historical release patterns and backend activity pointing to a possible early-to-mid June window before broader availability later in the summer.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Apr 30, 2026, 11:19 AM ET
音量
$51,341終了日
2026/07/31マーケット開始日
Apr 30, 2026, 11:19 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI’s rapid iteration on the GPT-5 family remains the main driver of trader sentiment around a GPT-5.6 release. Just three weeks after the April 23 rollout of GPT-5.5 to ChatGPT and API users, internal routing logs and developer reports confirmed GPT-5.6 entering active testing in Codex, signaling an aggressive monthly cadence rather than the longer gaps seen earlier in the series. This pace reflects competitive pressure from Google’s upcoming Gemini updates and Anthropic’s ongoing model refinements, pushing OpenAI to ship incremental capability gains in reasoning and agentic coding. Traders are now focused on the next catalysts: any official API flags, system-card updates, or quiet ChatGPT rollout in the coming weeks, with historical release patterns and backend activity pointing to a possible early-to-mid June window before broader availability later in the summer.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$51,341終了日
2026/07/31マーケット開始日
Apr 30, 2026, 11:19 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI’s rapid iteration on the GPT-5 family remains the main driver of trader sentiment around a GPT-5.6 release. Just three weeks after the April 23 rollout of GPT-5.5 to ChatGPT and API users, internal routing logs and developer reports confirmed GPT-5.6 entering active testing in Codex, signaling an aggressive monthly cadence rather than the longer gaps seen earlier in the series. This pace reflects competitive pressure from Google’s upcoming Gemini updates and Anthropic’s ongoing model refinements, pushing OpenAI to ship incremental capability gains in reasoning and agentic coding. Traders are now focused on the next catalysts: any official API flags, system-card updates, or quiet ChatGPT rollout in the coming weeks, with historical release patterns and backend activity pointing to a possible early-to-mid June window before broader availability later in the summer.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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