Recent supply expansions and the ramp of Blackwell GPUs have created uncertainty around H200 rental rates by late August, keeping market-implied odds tightly clustered across $4–$6 per hour bands. Cloud providers including RunPod and Vast.ai report spot prices fluctuating between roughly $3.50 and $4.40, reflecting increased availability of Hopper-based instances alongside premium memory-bound workloads that still command higher rates. Competitive pressure from lower-cost H100s and newer B200 tiers, plus broader data-center capacity additions, offsets persistent AI training demand and limits sharp rebounds. Traders are watching near-term utilization reports and any further AWS-style price cuts for signals that could resolve the balanced outlook before month-end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$5.50~$6.00 39%
$5.00〜$5.50 20%
$4.50〜$5.00 14%
$4.00~$4.50 10%
$4.00未満
15%
$4.00~$4.50
17%
$4.50〜$5.00
21%
$5.00〜$5.50
20%
$5.50~$6.00
39%
$6.00以上
14%
$5.50~$6.00 39%
$5.00〜$5.50 20%
$4.50〜$5.00 14%
$4.00~$4.50 10%
$4.00未満
15%
$4.00~$4.50
17%
$4.50〜$5.00
21%
$5.00〜$5.50
20%
$5.50~$6.00
39%
$6.00以上
14%
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jul 30, 2026, 11:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent supply expansions and the ramp of Blackwell GPUs have created uncertainty around H200 rental rates by late August, keeping market-implied odds tightly clustered across $4–$6 per hour bands. Cloud providers including RunPod and Vast.ai report spot prices fluctuating between roughly $3.50 and $4.40, reflecting increased availability of Hopper-based instances alongside premium memory-bound workloads that still command higher rates. Competitive pressure from lower-cost H100s and newer B200 tiers, plus broader data-center capacity additions, offsets persistent AI training demand and limits sharp rebounds. Traders are watching near-term utilization reports and any further AWS-style price cuts for signals that could resolve the balanced outlook before month-end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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