Iran maintains full sovereignty and administrative control over Hengam Island in the Persian Gulf near the Strait of Hormuz, despite US military strikes on the island reported in mid-July 2026 amid the broader 2026 Strait of Hormuz crisis. Iranian forces continue operations there, including responses to reported explosions and ongoing cleanup of oil pollution along its coasts. Escalating tensions with the United States and Israel, including shipping restrictions and air defense activations, have not altered territorial status, though military activity around nearby islands such as Qeshm and Larak persists. Diplomatic proposals between Iran and Oman for joint management of strait transit lanes remain under discussion without affecting land control. Any shift in ownership would require major escalation, such as foreign occupation or negotiated cession, neither of which has materialized.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$120,915 Vol.
2026/08/31
8月31日
1%
$120,915 Vol.
8月31日
$93,367 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hengam Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Hengam Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Hengam Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.Iran maintains full sovereignty and administrative control over Hengam Island in the Persian Gulf near the Strait of Hormuz, despite US military strikes on the island reported in mid-July 2026 amid the broader 2026 Strait of Hormuz crisis. Iranian forces continue operations there, including responses to reported explosions and ongoing cleanup of oil pollution along its coasts. Escalating tensions with the United States and Israel, including shipping restrictions and air defense activations, have not altered territorial status, though military activity around nearby islands such as Qeshm and Larak persists. Diplomatic proposals between Iran and Oman for joint management of strait transit lanes remain under discussion without affecting land control. Any shift in ownership would require major escalation, such as foreign occupation or negotiated cession, neither of which has materialized.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hengam Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Hengam Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Hengam Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Hengam Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Hengam Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Jul 20, 2026, 9:13 PM ET
音量
$120,915終了日
2026/08/31マーケット開始日
Jul 20, 2026, 9:13 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hengam Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Hengam Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Hengam Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.Iran maintains full sovereignty and administrative control over Hengam Island in the Persian Gulf near the Strait of Hormuz, despite US military strikes on the island reported in mid-July 2026 amid the broader 2026 Strait of Hormuz crisis. Iranian forces continue operations there, including responses to reported explosions and ongoing cleanup of oil pollution along its coasts. Escalating tensions with the United States and Israel, including shipping restrictions and air defense activations, have not altered territorial status, though military activity around nearby islands such as Qeshm and Larak persists. Diplomatic proposals between Iran and Oman for joint management of strait transit lanes remain under discussion without affecting land control. Any shift in ownership would require major escalation, such as foreign occupation or negotiated cession, neither of which has materialized.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hengam Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Hengam Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Hengam Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Hengam Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Hengam Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$120,915終了日
2026/08/31マーケット開始日
Jul 20, 2026, 9:13 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iran maintains full sovereignty and administrative control over Hengam Island in the Persian Gulf near the Strait of Hormuz, despite US military strikes on the island reported in mid-July 2026 amid the broader 2026 Strait of Hormuz crisis. Iranian forces continue operations there, including responses to reported explosions and ongoing cleanup of oil pollution along its coasts. Escalating tensions with the United States and Israel, including shipping restrictions and air defense activations, have not altered territorial status, though military activity around nearby islands such as Qeshm and Larak persists. Diplomatic proposals between Iran and Oman for joint management of strait transit lanes remain under discussion without affecting land control. Any shift in ownership would require major escalation, such as foreign occupation or negotiated cession, neither of which has materialized.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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