Current ensemble forecasts from European meteorological centers, including model runs showing light rain and moderate southwesterly winds, position 17°C as the most likely maximum temperature in Amsterdam on June 11, driving the 44.5% market-implied probability. Trader consensus assigns 26.5% odds to 18°C amid minor disagreements between guidance showing slight warming potential and cooler scenarios near 16°C at 18.5%. These short-term projections carry typical uncertainty ranges from atmospheric variability, with official updates from agencies like KNMI expected to refine outcomes ahead of resolution. Historical June averages near 18–20°C provide context, yet recent patterns favor the lower end of the distribution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Amsterdam on June 11?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on June 11?
17°C 45%
18°C 27%
16°C 16%
19°C 7.8%
新規
新規
2026/06/11
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
4%
16°C
16%
17°C
45%
18°C
27%
19°C
8%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
17°C 45%
18°C 27%
16°C 16%
19°C 7.8%
新規
新規
2026/06/11
12°C or below
$100 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$96 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$135 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$555 Vol.
4%
16°C
$702 Vol.
16%
17°C
$566 Vol.
45%
18°C
$261 Vol.
27%
19°C
$609 Vol.
8%
20°C
$220 Vol.
1%
21°C
$120 Vol.
<1%
22°C or higher
$168 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from European meteorological centers, including model runs showing light rain and moderate southwesterly winds, position 17°C as the most likely maximum temperature in Amsterdam on June 11, driving the 44.5% market-implied probability. Trader consensus assigns 26.5% odds to 18°C amid minor disagreements between guidance showing slight warming potential and cooler scenarios near 16°C at 18.5%. These short-term projections carry typical uncertainty ranges from atmospheric variability, with official updates from agencies like KNMI expected to refine outcomes ahead of resolution. Historical June averages near 18–20°C provide context, yet recent patterns favor the lower end of the distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jun 9, 2026, 1:13 AM ET
音量
$3,531終了日
2026/06/11マーケット開始日
Jun 9, 2026, 1:13 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from European meteorological centers, including model runs showing light rain and moderate southwesterly winds, position 17°C as the most likely maximum temperature in Amsterdam on June 11, driving the 44.5% market-implied probability. Trader consensus assigns 26.5% odds to 18°C amid minor disagreements between guidance showing slight warming potential and cooler scenarios near 16°C at 18.5%. These short-term projections carry typical uncertainty ranges from atmospheric variability, with official updates from agencies like KNMI expected to refine outcomes ahead of resolution. Historical June averages near 18–20°C provide context, yet recent patterns favor the lower end of the distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$3,531終了日
2026/06/11マーケット開始日
Jun 9, 2026, 1:13 AM ETCurrent ensemble forecasts from European meteorological centers, including model runs showing light rain and moderate southwesterly winds, position 17°C as the most likely maximum temperature in Amsterdam on June 11, driving the 44.5% market-implied probability. Trader consensus assigns 26.5% odds to 18°C amid minor disagreements between guidance showing slight warming potential and cooler scenarios near 16°C at 18.5%. These short-term projections carry typical uncertainty ranges from atmospheric variability, with official updates from agencies like KNMI expected to refine outcomes ahead of resolution. Historical June averages near 18–20°C provide context, yet recent patterns favor the lower end of the distribution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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