Recent numerical weather model consensus from sources including the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional points to a typical mid-winter pattern over Buenos Aires, with daytime highs most likely settling between 16–18°C on August 3. This tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those three outcomes reflects modest uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, Atlantic moisture advection, and the precise timing of any weak frontal passage. Subtle differences hinge on forecast details such as cloud cover reducing insolation or light northerly flow allowing brief warming above the seasonal 17°C average, while stronger southerly winds or clearer skies could cap the maximum nearer 16°C. Updated model runs over the next 24 hours will likely sharpen resolution criteria tied to official observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月3日のブエノスアイレスの最高気温は？
8月3日のブエノスアイレスの最高気温は？
17°C 36%
18°C 33%
16°C 18%
19°C 10%
新規
新規
2026/08/03
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
5%
16°C
18%
17°C
36%
18°C
33%
19°C
10%
20°C
2%
21°C or higher
1%
17°C 36%
18°C 33%
16°C 18%
19°C 10%
新規
新規
2026/08/03
11°C or below
$442 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$143 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$472 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$269 Vol.
1%
15°C
$123 Vol.
5%
16°C
$169 Vol.
18%
17°C
$379 Vol.
36%
18°C
$4,421 Vol.
33%
19°C
$216 Vol.
10%
20°C
$131 Vol.
2%
21°C or higher
$126 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather model consensus from sources including the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional points to a typical mid-winter pattern over Buenos Aires, with daytime highs most likely settling between 16–18°C on August 3. This tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those three outcomes reflects modest uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, Atlantic moisture advection, and the precise timing of any weak frontal passage. Subtle differences hinge on forecast details such as cloud cover reducing insolation or light northerly flow allowing brief warming above the seasonal 17°C average, while stronger southerly winds or clearer skies could cap the maximum nearer 16°C. Updated model runs over the next 24 hours will likely sharpen resolution criteria tied to official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 1, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
音量
$6,891終了日
2026/08/03マーケット開始日
Aug 1, 2026, 9:02 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather model consensus from sources including the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional points to a typical mid-winter pattern over Buenos Aires, with daytime highs most likely settling between 16–18°C on August 3. This tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those three outcomes reflects modest uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, Atlantic moisture advection, and the precise timing of any weak frontal passage. Subtle differences hinge on forecast details such as cloud cover reducing insolation or light northerly flow allowing brief warming above the seasonal 17°C average, while stronger southerly winds or clearer skies could cap the maximum nearer 16°C. Updated model runs over the next 24 hours will likely sharpen resolution criteria tied to official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$6,891終了日
2026/08/03マーケット開始日
Aug 1, 2026, 9:02 PM ETRecent numerical weather model consensus from sources including the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional points to a typical mid-winter pattern over Buenos Aires, with daytime highs most likely settling between 16–18°C on August 3. This tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those three outcomes reflects modest uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, Atlantic moisture advection, and the precise timing of any weak frontal passage. Subtle differences hinge on forecast details such as cloud cover reducing insolation or light northerly flow allowing brief warming above the seasonal 17°C average, while stronger southerly winds or clearer skies could cap the maximum nearer 16°C. Updated model runs over the next 24 hours will likely sharpen resolution criteria tied to official observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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