Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs indicate Denver will experience strong high-pressure ridging on August 3, with downslope warming and limited cloud cover supporting afternoon highs near or above 100 °F. Trader consensus favoring the 100–101 °F bin reflects this setup, tempered by modest spread in guidance on exact boundary-layer mixing and any late-day convective initiation that could cap temperatures. Historical August climatology shows typical highs around 90–92 °F, so current conditions represent a clear positive anomaly driven by the broader western heat wave. Updated NWS and NOAA model releases over the next 24 hours will refine wind and moisture profiles, directly influencing resolution odds among the tightly clustered central outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月3日のデンバーの最高気温は?
100〜101°F 41%
98〜99°F 32%
102〜103°F 19%
96~97°F 7%
91°F以下
1%
92〜93°F
2%
94~95°F
2%
96~97°F
7%
98〜99°F
32%
100〜101°F
41%
102〜103°F
19%
104~105°F
3%
106~107°F
2%
108〜109°F
2%
華氏110度以上
<1%
100〜101°F 41%
98〜99°F 32%
102〜103°F 19%
96~97°F 7%
91°F以下
1%
92〜93°F
2%
94~95°F
2%
96~97°F
7%
98〜99°F
32%
100〜101°F
41%
102〜103°F
19%
104~105°F
3%
106~107°F
2%
108〜109°F
2%
華氏110度以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 1, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs indicate Denver will experience strong high-pressure ridging on August 3, with downslope warming and limited cloud cover supporting afternoon highs near or above 100 °F. Trader consensus favoring the 100–101 °F bin reflects this setup, tempered by modest spread in guidance on exact boundary-layer mixing and any late-day convective initiation that could cap temperatures. Historical August climatology shows typical highs around 90–92 °F, so current conditions represent a clear positive anomaly driven by the broader western heat wave. Updated NWS and NOAA model releases over the next 24 hours will refine wind and moisture profiles, directly influencing resolution odds among the tightly clustered central outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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