Current forecast models point to a peak of 32–34°C in Guangzhou on July 14, driven by the region's subtropical monsoon climate, elevated solar insolation, and high humidity that amplify daytime heating while scattered moderate rain—shown in recent guidance—could limit extremes through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Trader consensus around 33°C or higher reflects model spread on rainfall timing and intensity, typical for mid-July when climatological highs average near 32°C but occasional clear spells allow brief spikes. Updated numerical weather predictions from regional agencies will likely refine these probabilities ahead of the date.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日7月14日の広州の最高気温は?
32°C 42%
31°C 25%
33°C 15%
30℃ 12%
$19,732 Vol.
$19,732 Vol.
24℃以下
<1%
25℃
<1%
26℃
<1%
27°C
<1%
28℃
<1%
29℃
4%
30℃
12%
31°C
25%
32°C
42%
33°C
15%
34°C以上
9%
32°C 42%
31°C 25%
33°C 15%
30℃ 12%
$19,732 Vol.
$19,732 Vol.
24℃以下
<1%
25℃
<1%
26℃
<1%
27°C
<1%
28℃
<1%
29℃
4%
30℃
12%
31°C
25%
32°C
42%
33°C
15%
34°C以上
9%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jul 12, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecast models point to a peak of 32–34°C in Guangzhou on July 14, driven by the region's subtropical monsoon climate, elevated solar insolation, and high humidity that amplify daytime heating while scattered moderate rain—shown in recent guidance—could limit extremes through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Trader consensus around 33°C or higher reflects model spread on rainfall timing and intensity, typical for mid-July when climatological highs average near 32°C but occasional clear spells allow brief spikes. Updated numerical weather predictions from regional agencies will likely refine these probabilities ahead of the date.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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