The market's overwhelming consensus on a 25°C high stems from the Hong Kong Observatory's official post-event temperature observations for May 16, which recorded a daily maximum of exactly that value at the primary monitoring station. This aligns with local climatological patterns for mid-May, when daytime highs typically range from 27–31°C under subtropical conditions influenced by the East Asian monsoon transition, though cooler northerly flows or increased cloud cover can suppress peaks by several degrees. Forecasters and traders incorporated the final verified data release, leaving negligible room for alternative outcomes given the precision of calibrated instruments and historical consistency in Observatory records. A shift would require an unprecedented revision to the raw measurements or a change in the defined reference station, both of which remain highly improbable based on established meteorological protocols.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 16?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 16?
25°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$303,928 Vol.
$303,928 Vol.
2026/05/16
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
25°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$303,928 Vol.
$303,928 Vol.
2026/05/16
19°C or below
$20,114 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$12,423 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$12,259 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$6,633 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$4,753 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$37,336 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$77,401 Vol.
100%
26°C
$43,033 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$39,653 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$25,277 Vol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$25,047 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market's overwhelming consensus on a 25°C high stems from the Hong Kong Observatory's official post-event temperature observations for May 16, which recorded a daily maximum of exactly that value at the primary monitoring station. This aligns with local climatological patterns for mid-May, when daytime highs typically range from 27–31°C under subtropical conditions influenced by the East Asian monsoon transition, though cooler northerly flows or increased cloud cover can suppress peaks by several degrees. Forecasters and traders incorporated the final verified data release, leaving negligible room for alternative outcomes given the precision of calibrated instruments and historical consistency in Observatory records. A shift would require an unprecedented revision to the raw measurements or a change in the defined reference station, both of which remain highly improbable based on established meteorological protocols.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： May 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
音量
$303,928終了日
2026/05/16マーケット開始日
May 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market's overwhelming consensus on a 25°C high stems from the Hong Kong Observatory's official post-event temperature observations for May 16, which recorded a daily maximum of exactly that value at the primary monitoring station. This aligns with local climatological patterns for mid-May, when daytime highs typically range from 27–31°C under subtropical conditions influenced by the East Asian monsoon transition, though cooler northerly flows or increased cloud cover can suppress peaks by several degrees. Forecasters and traders incorporated the final verified data release, leaving negligible room for alternative outcomes given the precision of calibrated instruments and historical consistency in Observatory records. A shift would require an unprecedented revision to the raw measurements or a change in the defined reference station, both of which remain highly improbable based on established meteorological protocols.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$303,928終了日
2026/05/16マーケット開始日
May 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The market's overwhelming consensus on a 25°C high stems from the Hong Kong Observatory's official post-event temperature observations for May 16, which recorded a daily maximum of exactly that value at the primary monitoring station. This aligns with local climatological patterns for mid-May, when daytime highs typically range from 27–31°C under subtropical conditions influenced by the East Asian monsoon transition, though cooler northerly flows or increased cloud cover can suppress peaks by several degrees. Forecasters and traders incorporated the final verified data release, leaving negligible room for alternative outcomes given the precision of calibrated instruments and historical consistency in Observatory records. A shift would require an unprecedented revision to the raw measurements or a change in the defined reference station, both of which remain highly improbable based on established meteorological protocols.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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