Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a daytime maximum near 25°C on May 17, driven by a stable subtropical high-pressure system promoting subsidence alongside a moist easterly flow that sustains widespread cloud cover and scattered showers. These conditions suppress surface heating well below the May climatological average of 28–29°C under clearer skies, with numerical weather prediction ensembles showing minimal spread in peak temperature guidance. Official monitoring tracks any monsoon pattern shifts that could briefly increase insolation and allow modest warming, though current model consensus supports limited upside risk ahead of the final daily maximum observation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5月17日の香港の最高気温は?
25°C 100.0%
26°C <1%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
$265,883 Vol.
$265,883 Vol.
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
25°C 100.0%
26°C <1%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
$265,883 Vol.
$265,883 Vol.
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a daytime maximum near 25°C on May 17, driven by a stable subtropical high-pressure system promoting subsidence alongside a moist easterly flow that sustains widespread cloud cover and scattered showers. These conditions suppress surface heating well below the May climatological average of 28–29°C under clearer skies, with numerical weather prediction ensembles showing minimal spread in peak temperature guidance. Official monitoring tracks any monsoon pattern shifts that could briefly increase insolation and allow modest warming, though current model consensus supports limited upside risk ahead of the final daily maximum observation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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