Forecast models for Jeddah on July 15 show daily highs clustered near 36–38 °C, producing the tight market split among the 36 °C, 37 °C, and 38 °C+ buckets. Persistent subtropical high pressure supports strong solar heating, while Red Sea sea-surface temperatures above the 1991–2020 July baseline sustain elevated humidity that modulates peak readings through latent-heat effects and reduced nocturnal cooling. Light to moderate onshore flow and sea-breeze timing introduce day-to-day variability of 1–2 °C, and ensemble spread in global and regional models reflects lingering uncertainty over exact ridge strength and boundary-layer moisture. Recent mid-July observations around 35–37 °C reinforce the narrow range, with new model runs and official updates from Saudi meteorological sources expected to refine the outcome before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日7月15日のジェッダの最高気温は?
37°C 35%
38℃以上 34%
36℃ 21%
35℃ 10%
28°C以下
<1%
29℃
<1%
30°C
<1%
31℃
<1%
32℃
<1%
33°C
1%
34℃
1%
35℃
10%
36℃
21%
37°C
35%
38℃以上
34%
37°C 35%
38℃以上 34%
36℃ 21%
35℃ 10%
28°C以下
<1%
29℃
<1%
30°C
<1%
31℃
<1%
32℃
<1%
33°C
1%
34℃
1%
35℃
10%
36℃
21%
37°C
35%
38℃以上
34%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jul 13, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models for Jeddah on July 15 show daily highs clustered near 36–38 °C, producing the tight market split among the 36 °C, 37 °C, and 38 °C+ buckets. Persistent subtropical high pressure supports strong solar heating, while Red Sea sea-surface temperatures above the 1991–2020 July baseline sustain elevated humidity that modulates peak readings through latent-heat effects and reduced nocturnal cooling. Light to moderate onshore flow and sea-breeze timing introduce day-to-day variability of 1–2 °C, and ensemble spread in global and regional models reflects lingering uncertainty over exact ridge strength and boundary-layer moisture. Recent mid-July observations around 35–37 °C reinforce the narrow range, with new model runs and official updates from Saudi meteorological sources expected to refine the outcome before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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