Recent monsoon activity and forecast model consensus point to widespread cloud cover with thunderstorms likely suppressing maximum temperatures in Lucknow on September 2. India Meteorological Department guidance and short-range models indicate daytime highs near 29–31°C amid high humidity and light easterly winds, consistent with post-monsoon patterns where rainfall and reduced insolation limit warming. Historical September averages hover around 31–33°C, but current conditions favor values at the lower end of that range. Trader positioning reflects this narrow spread between 29°C and 30°C outcomes, with further refinement expected from updated IMD nowcasts and regional model runs ahead of the daily peak.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月2日のラクナウの最高気温は?
30°C 35%
29°C 32%
31°C 15%
28°C 13%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
3%
28°C
13%
29°C
32%
30°C
35%
31°C
15%
32°C
4%
33°C or higher
2%
30°C 35%
29°C 32%
31°C 15%
28°C 13%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
3%
28°C
13%
29°C
32%
30°C
35%
31°C
15%
32°C
4%
33°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent monsoon activity and forecast model consensus point to widespread cloud cover with thunderstorms likely suppressing maximum temperatures in Lucknow on September 2. India Meteorological Department guidance and short-range models indicate daytime highs near 29–31°C amid high humidity and light easterly winds, consistent with post-monsoon patterns where rainfall and reduced insolation limit warming. Historical September averages hover around 31–33°C, but current conditions favor values at the lower end of that range. Trader positioning reflects this narrow spread between 29°C and 30°C outcomes, with further refinement expected from updated IMD nowcasts and regional model runs ahead of the daily peak.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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