Persistent monsoon activity and heavy rainfall alerts from the India Meteorological Department for Uttar Pradesh through September 3 are the main drivers keeping overnight lows elevated in Lucknow. Widespread cloud cover, high humidity near 90-95%, and thunderstorm activity limit radiative cooling, supporting minimum temperatures around 25-27°C on September 2 according to multiple forecast models. Recent hourly observations show early-morning readings stabilizing near 25°C amid ongoing showers, consistent with typical early-September monsoon climatology. Trader consensus on 26°C at 55% implied probability reflects this moisture-driven moderation, while lower outcomes like 23°C remain plausible if clearer skies develop overnight. Updated model runs and IMD briefings ahead of the overnight period will refine resolution criteria for the daily minimum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月2日のラクナウの最低気温は?
23°C 67%
25°C 46%
24°C 27%
27°C 26%
21°C or below
3%
22°C
14%
23°C
67%
24°C
27%
25°C
46%
26°C
56%
27°C
26%
28°C
15%
29°C
14%
30°C
13%
31°C or higher
1%
23°C 67%
25°C 46%
24°C 27%
27°C 26%
21°C or below
3%
22°C
14%
23°C
67%
24°C
27%
25°C
46%
26°C
56%
27°C
26%
28°C
15%
29°C
14%
30°C
13%
31°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 31, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Persistent monsoon activity and heavy rainfall alerts from the India Meteorological Department for Uttar Pradesh through September 3 are the main drivers keeping overnight lows elevated in Lucknow. Widespread cloud cover, high humidity near 90-95%, and thunderstorm activity limit radiative cooling, supporting minimum temperatures around 25-27°C on September 2 according to multiple forecast models. Recent hourly observations show early-morning readings stabilizing near 25°C amid ongoing showers, consistent with typical early-September monsoon climatology. Trader consensus on 26°C at 55% implied probability reflects this moisture-driven moderation, while lower outcomes like 23°C remain plausible if clearer skies develop overnight. Updated model runs and IMD briefings ahead of the overnight period will refine resolution criteria for the daily minimum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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