Current forecast models from sources like GFS indicate a high near 30°C in Madrid on September 20 under clear skies, high pressure, and light southeasterly winds that favor strong daytime solar heating with minimal cloud cover or precipitation. This places conditions well above the 1991–2020 average high of 25.5°C for the date, though below the all-time record of 31.6°C. Recent model runs show steady warming trends through the weekend, with trader consensus heavily weighting 31°C (60% implied probability) and 32°C (30%) as the most likely official peak readings amid minor uncertainties in station-specific maxima and potential microscale variations. Updated forecasts in the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月20日のマドリードの最高気温は？
9月20日のマドリードの最高気温は？
31°C 56%
32℃ 36%
30°C 12%
33℃ 11%
新規
新規
2026/09/20
25℃以下
<1%
26℃
<1%
27℃
1%
28℃
6%
29℃
6%
30°C
12%
31°C
56%
32℃
36%
33℃
11%
34℃
2%
35℃以上
<1%
31°C 56%
32℃ 36%
30°C 12%
33℃ 11%
新規
新規
2026/09/20
25℃以下
$181 Vol.
<1%
26℃
$155 Vol.
<1%
27℃
$63 Vol.
1%
28℃
$0 Vol.
6%
29℃
$0 Vol.
6%
30°C
$156 Vol.
12%
31°C
$373 Vol.
56%
32℃
$164 Vol.
36%
33℃
$9 Vol.
11%
34℃
$0 Vol.
2%
35℃以上
$10 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like GFS indicate a high near 30°C in Madrid on September 20 under clear skies, high pressure, and light southeasterly winds that favor strong daytime solar heating with minimal cloud cover or precipitation. This places conditions well above the 1991–2020 average high of 25.5°C for the date, though below the all-time record of 31.6°C. Recent model runs show steady warming trends through the weekend, with trader consensus heavily weighting 31°C (60% implied probability) and 32°C (30%) as the most likely official peak readings amid minor uncertainties in station-specific maxima and potential microscale variations. Updated forecasts in the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
音量
$1,111終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Sep 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like GFS indicate a high near 30°C in Madrid on September 20 under clear skies, high pressure, and light southeasterly winds that favor strong daytime solar heating with minimal cloud cover or precipitation. This places conditions well above the 1991–2020 average high of 25.5°C for the date, though below the all-time record of 31.6°C. Recent model runs show steady warming trends through the weekend, with trader consensus heavily weighting 31°C (60% implied probability) and 32°C (30%) as the most likely official peak readings amid minor uncertainties in station-specific maxima and potential microscale variations. Updated forecasts in the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$1,111終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Sep 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETCurrent forecast models from sources like GFS indicate a high near 30°C in Madrid on September 20 under clear skies, high pressure, and light southeasterly winds that favor strong daytime solar heating with minimal cloud cover or precipitation. This places conditions well above the 1991–2020 average high of 25.5°C for the date, though below the all-time record of 31.6°C. Recent model runs show steady warming trends through the weekend, with trader consensus heavily weighting 31°C (60% implied probability) and 32°C (30%) as the most likely official peak readings amid minor uncertainties in station-specific maxima and potential microscale variations. Updated forecasts in the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問