PAGASA's extended outlook for July 14, 2026, points to a 33°C high in Manila with a 40% rain chance, aligning with the market's near-tie between 32°C and 33°C outcomes. The southwest monsoon and intertropical convergence zone drive frequent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms that cap daytime heating through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling. Typical July maxima hover near 31–32°C, but brief clearer intervals or shifts in steering flow could push peaks higher while stronger convection or increased humidity would suppress them. Traders weigh the latest model consensus on monsoon strength and timing against historical variability in this tropical regime.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日7月14日のマニラの最高気温は?
33℃ 43%
34℃ 33%
32°C 25%
31℃ 6.3%
$11,135 Vol.
$11,135 Vol.
29°C以下
<1%
30℃
1%
31℃
6%
32°C
25%
33℃
43%
34℃
33%
35°C
2%
36℃
1%
37℃
<1%
38°C
<1%
39℃以上
<1%
33℃ 43%
34℃ 33%
32°C 25%
31℃ 6.3%
$11,135 Vol.
$11,135 Vol.
29°C以下
<1%
30℃
1%
31℃
6%
32°C
25%
33℃
43%
34℃
33%
35°C
2%
36℃
1%
37℃
<1%
38°C
<1%
39℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jul 12, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
PAGASA's extended outlook for July 14, 2026, points to a 33°C high in Manila with a 40% rain chance, aligning with the market's near-tie between 32°C and 33°C outcomes. The southwest monsoon and intertropical convergence zone drive frequent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms that cap daytime heating through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling. Typical July maxima hover near 31–32°C, but brief clearer intervals or shifts in steering flow could push peaks higher while stronger convection or increased humidity would suppress them. Traders weigh the latest model consensus on monsoon strength and timing against historical variability in this tropical regime.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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