Recent forecasts from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models indicate a highest temperature near 25°C for Mexico City on August 28, driven by the city's 2,240-meter elevation, persistent cloud cover, and 70–90% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms typical of the late-summer rainy season. These conditions limit solar heating and keep daytime maxima in the 23–27°C range, aligning with historical August averages of 24–26°C. Trader consensus, with 25°C at 51% implied probability and 24–26°C collectively over 90%, reflects model agreement on moderate instability and north-northeasterly flow, though slight variations in storm timing or intensity could shift the peak by 1°C. Updated observations and evening model runs will refine resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月28日のメキシコシティの最高気温は?
25°C 52%
24℃ 22%
26℃ 21%
23℃ 5%
19℃以下
<1%
20°C
<1%
21℃
1%
22°C
3%
23℃
5%
24℃
22%
25°C
52%
26℃
21%
27°C
3%
28°C
1%
29℃以上
<1%
25°C 52%
24℃ 22%
26℃ 21%
23℃ 5%
19℃以下
<1%
20°C
<1%
21℃
1%
22°C
3%
23℃
5%
24℃
22%
25°C
52%
26℃
21%
27°C
3%
28°C
1%
29℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 26, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models indicate a highest temperature near 25°C for Mexico City on August 28, driven by the city's 2,240-meter elevation, persistent cloud cover, and 70–90% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms typical of the late-summer rainy season. These conditions limit solar heating and keep daytime maxima in the 23–27°C range, aligning with historical August averages of 24–26°C. Trader consensus, with 25°C at 51% implied probability and 24–26°C collectively over 90%, reflects model agreement on moderate instability and north-northeasterly flow, though slight variations in storm timing or intensity could shift the peak by 1°C. Updated observations and evening model runs will refine resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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