Recent forecasts from meteorological models and agencies, including ilMeteo.it and GFS-based outlooks, indicate a peak temperature near 29°C in Milan on August 22, 2026, under stable high pressure, clear to partly cloudy skies, and light westerly winds favoring daytime heating in the Po Valley. This positions 29°C as the leading market outcome at 44% implied probability, with 28°C close behind at 29% due to minor variations in afternoon maximums across ensemble runs. The 26.5% chance for 30°C or higher reflects residual uncertainty in peak solar insolation and urban heat effects, while cooler outcomes remain low-probability given the absence of significant cooling advection or cloud cover. Historical late-August averages near 28°C provide context for the current consensus.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月22日のミラノの最高気温は?
29°C 45%
28°C 31%
30°C or higher 24%
27°C 4%
$16,835 Vol.
$16,835 Vol.
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
31%
29°C
45%
30°C or higher
24%
29°C 45%
28°C 31%
30°C or higher 24%
27°C 4%
$16,835 Vol.
$16,835 Vol.
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
31%
29°C
45%
30°C or higher
24%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from meteorological models and agencies, including ilMeteo.it and GFS-based outlooks, indicate a peak temperature near 29°C in Milan on August 22, 2026, under stable high pressure, clear to partly cloudy skies, and light westerly winds favoring daytime heating in the Po Valley. This positions 29°C as the leading market outcome at 44% implied probability, with 28°C close behind at 29% due to minor variations in afternoon maximums across ensemble runs. The 26.5% chance for 30°C or higher reflects residual uncertainty in peak solar insolation and urban heat effects, while cooler outcomes remain low-probability given the absence of significant cooling advection or cloud cover. Historical late-August averages near 28°C provide context for the current consensus.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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