Recent ensemble forecasts from the German Weather Service (DWD) and ECMWF indicate a northwesterly flow advecting cooler maritime air into southern Germany, supporting a maximum temperature of 16–18 °C in Munich on September 22 under partly cloudy skies with minimal diurnal warming. This aligns with the market’s heaviest trading on 17 °C (49.5 %) followed by 16 °C (28 %) and 18 °C (19.5 %), reflecting model consensus just below the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 18.8 °C. Stable high pressure and light winds limit afternoon mixing, while the absence of warm advection or clear-sky radiative heating keeps upside risk low. Updated model runs and any last-minute observational adjustments from surface stations will be the primary near-term drivers of further shifts in implied probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月22日のミュンヘンの最高気温は？
9月22日のミュンヘンの最高気温は？
17°C 50%
16℃ 28%
18℃ 20%
15℃ 4%
新規
新規
2026/09/22
13°C以下
2%
14°C
2%
15℃
4%
16℃
28%
17°C
50%
18℃
20%
19℃
4%
20°C
2%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23℃以上
<1%
17°C 50%
16℃ 28%
18℃ 20%
15℃ 4%
新規
新規
2026/09/22
13°C以下
$0 Vol.
2%
14°C
$0 Vol.
2%
15℃
$543 Vol.
4%
16℃
$839 Vol.
28%
17°C
$1,075 Vol.
50%
18℃
$2,277 Vol.
20%
19℃
$283 Vol.
4%
20°C
$32 Vol.
2%
21°C
$59 Vol.
1%
22°C
$26 Vol.
<1%
23℃以上
$117 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the German Weather Service (DWD) and ECMWF indicate a northwesterly flow advecting cooler maritime air into southern Germany, supporting a maximum temperature of 16–18 °C in Munich on September 22 under partly cloudy skies with minimal diurnal warming. This aligns with the market’s heaviest trading on 17 °C (49.5 %) followed by 16 °C (28 %) and 18 °C (19.5 %), reflecting model consensus just below the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 18.8 °C. Stable high pressure and light winds limit afternoon mixing, while the absence of warm advection or clear-sky radiative heating keeps upside risk low. Updated model runs and any last-minute observational adjustments from surface stations will be the primary near-term drivers of further shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
音量
$5,250終了日
2026/09/22マーケット開始日
Sep 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the German Weather Service (DWD) and ECMWF indicate a northwesterly flow advecting cooler maritime air into southern Germany, supporting a maximum temperature of 16–18 °C in Munich on September 22 under partly cloudy skies with minimal diurnal warming. This aligns with the market’s heaviest trading on 17 °C (49.5 %) followed by 16 °C (28 %) and 18 °C (19.5 %), reflecting model consensus just below the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 18.8 °C. Stable high pressure and light winds limit afternoon mixing, while the absence of warm advection or clear-sky radiative heating keeps upside risk low. Updated model runs and any last-minute observational adjustments from surface stations will be the primary near-term drivers of further shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$5,250終了日
2026/09/22マーケット開始日
Sep 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from the German Weather Service (DWD) and ECMWF indicate a northwesterly flow advecting cooler maritime air into southern Germany, supporting a maximum temperature of 16–18 °C in Munich on September 22 under partly cloudy skies with minimal diurnal warming. This aligns with the market’s heaviest trading on 17 °C (49.5 %) followed by 16 °C (28 %) and 18 °C (19.5 %), reflecting model consensus just below the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 18.8 °C. Stable high pressure and light winds limit afternoon mixing, while the absence of warm advection or clear-sky radiative heating keeps upside risk low. Updated model runs and any last-minute observational adjustments from surface stations will be the primary near-term drivers of further shifts in implied probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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