Recent forecasts for Qingdao point to persistent marine influence from the Yellow Sea and northeasterly onshore flow moderating daytime highs near 27–30°C on July 6 amid light rain and extensive cloud cover that limits solar insolation. These conditions align with early-July climatology while creating tight differentiation among 29–35°C outcomes, as modest reductions in cloud thickness or brief warm advection could allow temperatures to edge higher. Official guidance from monitoring agencies highlights model spread on precipitation timing and wind shifts, sustaining dispersed trader probabilities around the central range rather than strong consensus on any single threshold.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Qingdao on July 6?
30°C 25%
35°C or higher 24%
29°C 18%
31°C 14%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
18%
30°C
25%
31°C
14%
32°C
12%
33°C
10%
34°C
6%
35°C or higher
24%
30°C 25%
35°C or higher 24%
29°C 18%
31°C 14%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
18%
30°C
25%
31°C
14%
32°C
12%
33°C
10%
34°C
6%
35°C or higher
24%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jul 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts for Qingdao point to persistent marine influence from the Yellow Sea and northeasterly onshore flow moderating daytime highs near 27–30°C on July 6 amid light rain and extensive cloud cover that limits solar insolation. These conditions align with early-July climatology while creating tight differentiation among 29–35°C outcomes, as modest reductions in cloud thickness or brief warm advection could allow temperatures to edge higher. Official guidance from monitoring agencies highlights model spread on precipitation timing and wind shifts, sustaining dispersed trader probabilities around the central range rather than strong consensus on any single threshold.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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