Official temperature readings from Sao Paulo's meteorological network, including stations monitored by Brazil's National Institute of Meteorology, recorded a daily maximum of 26°C on August 14. This measurement aligns precisely with the market's 100% implied probability for that threshold. Mid-August falls in the Southern Hemisphere winter, when cooler, drier air masses typically suppress highs below seasonal averages near 23–25°C. Stable atmospheric conditions and limited cloud cover supported the observed peak without exceeding it. Minor discrepancies in station selection or rounding protocols remain possible but would not alter the resolved outcome under standard market criteria.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月14日のサンパウロの最高気温は?
26°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$44,537 Vol.
$44,537 Vol.
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$44,537 Vol.
$44,537 Vol.
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 12, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
提案された結果: Yes
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
提案された結果: Yes
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: Yes
Official temperature readings from Sao Paulo's meteorological network, including stations monitored by Brazil's National Institute of Meteorology, recorded a daily maximum of 26°C on August 14. This measurement aligns precisely with the market's 100% implied probability for that threshold. Mid-August falls in the Southern Hemisphere winter, when cooler, drier air masses typically suppress highs below seasonal averages near 23–25°C. Stable atmospheric conditions and limited cloud cover supported the observed peak without exceeding it. Minor discrepancies in station selection or rounding protocols remain possible but would not alter the resolved outcome under standard market criteria.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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