Recent meteorological forecasts and observational data from monitoring stations indicate a maximum temperature of 22°C for São Paulo on May 17, aligning with the market's near-certain consensus on this outcome. In the Southern Hemisphere autumn, regional atmospheric conditions including cooler air masses and typical wind patterns suppress daytime highs below seasonal averages of 22–24°C. Model runs show minimal variability, with any potential warming from localized cloud breaks or urban heat effects unlikely to push readings to 23°C or above given current humidity and frontal influences. This positioning reflects trader assessment of official measurement thresholds, where resolution hinges on verified station data rather than projections.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5月17日のサンパウロの最高気温は?
$60,958 Vol.
$60,958 Vol.
22°C
100%
23°C or higher
<1%
$60,958 Vol.
$60,958 Vol.
22°C
100%
23°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent meteorological forecasts and observational data from monitoring stations indicate a maximum temperature of 22°C for São Paulo on May 17, aligning with the market's near-certain consensus on this outcome. In the Southern Hemisphere autumn, regional atmospheric conditions including cooler air masses and typical wind patterns suppress daytime highs below seasonal averages of 22–24°C. Model runs show minimal variability, with any potential warming from localized cloud breaks or urban heat effects unlikely to push readings to 23°C or above given current humidity and frontal influences. This positioning reflects trader assessment of official measurement thresholds, where resolution hinges on verified station data rather than projections.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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