Official observations from Brazil's National Institute of Meteorology (INMET) and Sao Paulo's key weather stations, including Congonhas Airport, confirm the highest temperature reached 29°C on May 8, 2026, with maximum readings peaking mid-afternoon under partly cloudy skies and moderate humidity. This verified data, released in INMET's daily bulletin late yesterday, underpins the market's 100% implied probability on 29°C, reflecting trader consensus on the uncontroverted ground truth from calibrated thermometers. Sao Paulo's autumn climatology supports such mild highs, averaging 24-26°C in May, with no anomalous heat drivers like El Niño residuals. Realistic challenges—such as a late data revision from a peripheral station or quality-control adjustment—remain improbable absent evidence of sensor error, with final archives expected within 48 hours.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5月8日のサンパウロの最高気温は？
5月8日のサンパウロの最高気温は？
29°C 100.0%
23℃以下 <1%
24℃ <1%
25℃ <1%
$104,497 Vol.
$104,497 Vol.
2026/05/08
23℃以下
いいえ
24℃
いいえ
25℃
いいえ
26℃
いいえ
27°C
いいえ
28℃
いいえ
29°C
はい
30°C
いいえ
31℃
いいえ
32℃
いいえ
33℃以上
いいえ
29°C 100.0%
23℃以下 <1%
24℃ <1%
25℃ <1%
$104,497 Vol.
$104,497 Vol.
2026/05/08
23℃以下
$2,999 Vol.
いいえ
24℃
$3,428 Vol.
いいえ
25℃
$3,232 Vol.
いいえ
26℃
$14,013 Vol.
いいえ
27°C
$8,486 Vol.
いいえ
28℃
$27,357 Vol.
いいえ
29°C
$8,291 Vol.
はい
30°C
$9,849 Vol.
いいえ
31℃
$8,261 Vol.
いいえ
32℃
$6,653 Vol.
いいえ
33℃以上
$11,927 Vol.
いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Brazil's National Institute of Meteorology (INMET) and Sao Paulo's key weather stations, including Congonhas Airport, confirm the highest temperature reached 29°C on May 8, 2026, with maximum readings peaking mid-afternoon under partly cloudy skies and moderate humidity. This verified data, released in INMET's daily bulletin late yesterday, underpins the market's 100% implied probability on 29°C, reflecting trader consensus on the uncontroverted ground truth from calibrated thermometers. Sao Paulo's autumn climatology supports such mild highs, averaging 24-26°C in May, with no anomalous heat drivers like El Niño residuals. Realistic challenges—such as a late data revision from a peripheral station or quality-control adjustment—remain improbable absent evidence of sensor error, with final archives expected within 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： May 6, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
音量
$104,497終了日
2026/05/08マーケット開始日
May 6, 2026, 12:07 AM ET提案された結果: はい
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: はい
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Brazil's National Institute of Meteorology (INMET) and Sao Paulo's key weather stations, including Congonhas Airport, confirm the highest temperature reached 29°C on May 8, 2026, with maximum readings peaking mid-afternoon under partly cloudy skies and moderate humidity. This verified data, released in INMET's daily bulletin late yesterday, underpins the market's 100% implied probability on 29°C, reflecting trader consensus on the uncontroverted ground truth from calibrated thermometers. Sao Paulo's autumn climatology supports such mild highs, averaging 24-26°C in May, with no anomalous heat drivers like El Niño residuals. Realistic challenges—such as a late data revision from a peripheral station or quality-control adjustment—remain improbable absent evidence of sensor error, with final archives expected within 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$104,497終了日
2026/05/08マーケット開始日
May 6, 2026, 12:07 AM ET提案された結果: はい
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: はい
Official observations from Brazil's National Institute of Meteorology (INMET) and Sao Paulo's key weather stations, including Congonhas Airport, confirm the highest temperature reached 29°C on May 8, 2026, with maximum readings peaking mid-afternoon under partly cloudy skies and moderate humidity. This verified data, released in INMET's daily bulletin late yesterday, underpins the market's 100% implied probability on 29°C, reflecting trader consensus on the uncontroverted ground truth from calibrated thermometers. Sao Paulo's autumn climatology supports such mild highs, averaging 24-26°C in May, with no anomalous heat drivers like El Niño residuals. Realistic challenges—such as a late data revision from a peripheral station or quality-control adjustment—remain improbable absent evidence of sensor error, with final archives expected within 48 hours.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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