The market's overwhelming 100% implied probability on a 19°C high for São Paulo on September 8 stems from official post-event observations confirming that exact maximum temperature at primary monitoring stations. Brazilian meteorological data, consistent with typical early-spring conditions under stable high-pressure influence, aligned with the recorded peak after daytime heating without significant cloud cover or frontal activity. This outcome matches historical September baselines around 18–22°C while ruling out outliers from transient weather systems. Minor uncertainty could arise only from rare revisions in station data or alternative measurement protocols, though such adjustments remain improbable given multiple verification sources.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月8日のサンパウロの最高気温は？
9月8日のサンパウロの最高気温は？
19°C 100.0%
15℃以下 <1%
16℃ <1%
17℃ <1%
$23,577 Vol.
$23,577 Vol.
2026/09/08
15℃以下
いいえ
16℃
いいえ
17℃
いいえ
18℃
いいえ
19°C
はい
20°C
いいえ
21℃
いいえ
22°C
いいえ
23°C
いいえ
24°C
いいえ
25℃以上
いいえ
19°C 100.0%
15℃以下 <1%
16℃ <1%
17℃ <1%
$23,577 Vol.
$23,577 Vol.
2026/09/08
15℃以下
$1,491 Vol.
いいえ
16℃
$1,573 Vol.
いいえ
17℃
$1,278 Vol.
いいえ
18℃
$4,262 Vol.
いいえ
19°C
$3,635 Vol.
はい
20°C
$3,473 Vol.
いいえ
21℃
$2,288 Vol.
いいえ
22°C
$2,683 Vol.
いいえ
23°C
$1,052 Vol.
いいえ
24°C
$412 Vol.
いいえ
25℃以上
$1,430 Vol.
いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's overwhelming 100% implied probability on a 19°C high for São Paulo on September 8 stems from official post-event observations confirming that exact maximum temperature at primary monitoring stations. Brazilian meteorological data, consistent with typical early-spring conditions under stable high-pressure influence, aligned with the recorded peak after daytime heating without significant cloud cover or frontal activity. This outcome matches historical September baselines around 18–22°C while ruling out outliers from transient weather systems. Minor uncertainty could arise only from rare revisions in station data or alternative measurement protocols, though such adjustments remain improbable given multiple verification sources.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 6, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
音量
$23,577終了日
2026/09/08マーケット開始日
Sep 6, 2026, 8:55 AM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's overwhelming 100% implied probability on a 19°C high for São Paulo on September 8 stems from official post-event observations confirming that exact maximum temperature at primary monitoring stations. Brazilian meteorological data, consistent with typical early-spring conditions under stable high-pressure influence, aligned with the recorded peak after daytime heating without significant cloud cover or frontal activity. This outcome matches historical September baselines around 18–22°C while ruling out outliers from transient weather systems. Minor uncertainty could arise only from rare revisions in station data or alternative measurement protocols, though such adjustments remain improbable given multiple verification sources.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$23,577終了日
2026/09/08マーケット開始日
Sep 6, 2026, 8:55 AM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
The market's overwhelming 100% implied probability on a 19°C high for São Paulo on September 8 stems from official post-event observations confirming that exact maximum temperature at primary monitoring stations. Brazilian meteorological data, consistent with typical early-spring conditions under stable high-pressure influence, aligned with the recorded peak after daytime heating without significant cloud cover or frontal activity. This outcome matches historical September baselines around 18–22°C while ruling out outliers from transient weather systems. Minor uncertainty could arise only from rare revisions in station data or alternative measurement protocols, though such adjustments remain improbable given multiple verification sources.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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