Recent National Environment Agency advisories highlight prevailing southwest monsoon conditions favoring drier weather and daily maximum temperatures of 33–34 °C through early August, establishing the primary driver behind the tight market split between 32 °C and 33 °C. These official outlooks incorporate regional wind patterns and reduced rainfall that limit cloud cover and enhance daytime heating relative to the 31 °C August climatological average. Short-term model guidance shows modest spread due to the timing and intensity of localized afternoon thundery showers, which can suppress peaks by 1–2 °C on any given day. Traders are therefore weighting the balance between sustained fair conditions and residual convective activity expected in the next 48 hours before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月4日のシンガポールの最高気温は?
32°C 51%
33℃ 37%
31°C 13%
30°C 8%
27℃以下
1%
28℃
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
8%
31°C
13%
32°C
51%
33℃
37%
34℃
4%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37℃以上
1%
32°C 51%
33℃ 37%
31°C 13%
30°C 8%
27℃以下
1%
28℃
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
8%
31°C
13%
32°C
51%
33℃
37%
34℃
4%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37℃以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Environment Agency advisories highlight prevailing southwest monsoon conditions favoring drier weather and daily maximum temperatures of 33–34 °C through early August, establishing the primary driver behind the tight market split between 32 °C and 33 °C. These official outlooks incorporate regional wind patterns and reduced rainfall that limit cloud cover and enhance daytime heating relative to the 31 °C August climatological average. Short-term model guidance shows modest spread due to the timing and intensity of localized afternoon thundery showers, which can suppress peaks by 1–2 °C on any given day. Traders are therefore weighting the balance between sustained fair conditions and residual convective activity expected in the next 48 hours before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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