Official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration project a daytime maximum of 26–34°C for Taipei on August 4, amid typical early-August subtropical conditions of high humidity, light winds, and low (10%) precipitation probability. Recent days reached 35–36°C, illustrating how urban heat-island effects and variable insolation can elevate readings above climatological averages near 32–34°C. With multiple global and regional models showing modest spread on peak heating, traders assign the highest implied probabilities to the 36°C (31%) and 37°C (27.5%) brackets, underscoring uncertainty around exact afternoon maxima and any minor steering-pattern shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月4日の台北の最高気温は?
37℃ 37%
36°C 31%
35℃ 20%
34℃ 8%
29℃以下
<1%
30℃
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
2%
33℃
2%
34℃
8%
35℃
20%
36°C
31%
37℃
27%
38°C
5%
39℃以上
4%
37℃ 37%
36°C 31%
35℃ 20%
34℃ 8%
29℃以下
<1%
30℃
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
2%
33℃
2%
34℃
8%
35℃
20%
36°C
31%
37℃
27%
38°C
5%
39℃以上
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration project a daytime maximum of 26–34°C for Taipei on August 4, amid typical early-August subtropical conditions of high humidity, light winds, and low (10%) precipitation probability. Recent days reached 35–36°C, illustrating how urban heat-island effects and variable insolation can elevate readings above climatological averages near 32–34°C. With multiple global and regional models showing modest spread on peak heating, traders assign the highest implied probabilities to the 36°C (31%) and 37°C (27.5%) brackets, underscoring uncertainty around exact afternoon maxima and any minor steering-pattern shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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