Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a maximum temperature in Tel Aviv on September 6 most likely near 30–31°C, driven by typical early-September Mediterranean conditions featuring moderate westerly winds, partial cloud cover, and sea-breeze moderation that limits daytime heating. Historical averages for the date hover around 29°C, with current runs showing little deviation from seasonal norms and no significant synoptic features such as heat domes or strong subsidence to push readings higher. The tight market split between 31°C and 32°C reflects minor ensemble differences in peak afternoon temperatures and potential variations in cloud timing or wind strength, while lower-probability outcomes remain distant given the stable pattern and absence of extreme drivers. Updated model guidance ahead of the date will clarify resolution criteria based on official station readings.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月6日のテルアビブの最高気温は?
31℃ 54%
32℃ 44%
30℃ 3%
33℃ 2%
28℃以下
1%
29°C
1%
30℃
3%
31℃
54%
32℃
44%
33℃
2%
34℃
<1%
35°C
<1%
36℃
<1%
37℃
<1%
38℃以上
<1%
31℃ 54%
32℃ 44%
30℃ 3%
33℃ 2%
28℃以下
1%
29°C
1%
30℃
3%
31℃
54%
32℃
44%
33℃
2%
34℃
<1%
35°C
<1%
36℃
<1%
37℃
<1%
38℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a maximum temperature in Tel Aviv on September 6 most likely near 30–31°C, driven by typical early-September Mediterranean conditions featuring moderate westerly winds, partial cloud cover, and sea-breeze moderation that limits daytime heating. Historical averages for the date hover around 29°C, with current runs showing little deviation from seasonal norms and no significant synoptic features such as heat domes or strong subsidence to push readings higher. The tight market split between 31°C and 32°C reflects minor ensemble differences in peak afternoon temperatures and potential variations in cloud timing or wind strength, while lower-probability outcomes remain distant given the stable pattern and absence of extreme drivers. Updated model guidance ahead of the date will clarify resolution criteria based on official station readings.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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