Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts mostly cloudy skies over Tokyo on August 4, supporting maximum temperatures near 28–29°C and aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those levels. Persistent cloud cover is expected to limit solar insolation and surface heating relative to seasonal climatology, where daily normals reach 31.8°C amid an above-normal summer pattern driven by a strengthened Pacific high. High humidity and urban heat-island effects in the Tokyo metropolitan area will still elevate apparent temperatures, though any late-day showers could further cap the peak. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with resolution hinging on the exact timing and extent of cloud breaks; the next JMA model updates will provide the clearest near-term signal for traders.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月4日の東京の最高気温は？
8月4日の東京の最高気温は？
28°C 30%
29°C 28%
27°C 17%
30°C 16%
新規
新規
2026/08/04
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
6%
27°C
17%
28°C
30%
29°C
28%
30°C
16%
31°C
5%
32°C or higher
3%
28°C 30%
29°C 28%
27°C 17%
30°C 16%
新規
新規
2026/08/04
22°C or below
$409 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$409 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$499 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$20 Vol.
2%
26°C
$9 Vol.
6%
27°C
$3 Vol.
17%
28°C
$192 Vol.
30%
29°C
$0 Vol.
28%
30°C
$36 Vol.
16%
31°C
$434 Vol.
5%
32°C or higher
$10 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts mostly cloudy skies over Tokyo on August 4, supporting maximum temperatures near 28–29°C and aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those levels. Persistent cloud cover is expected to limit solar insolation and surface heating relative to seasonal climatology, where daily normals reach 31.8°C amid an above-normal summer pattern driven by a strengthened Pacific high. High humidity and urban heat-island effects in the Tokyo metropolitan area will still elevate apparent temperatures, though any late-day showers could further cap the peak. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with resolution hinging on the exact timing and extent of cloud breaks; the next JMA model updates will provide the clearest near-term signal for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
音量
$2,021終了日
2026/08/04マーケット開始日
Aug 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts mostly cloudy skies over Tokyo on August 4, supporting maximum temperatures near 28–29°C and aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those levels. Persistent cloud cover is expected to limit solar insolation and surface heating relative to seasonal climatology, where daily normals reach 31.8°C amid an above-normal summer pattern driven by a strengthened Pacific high. High humidity and urban heat-island effects in the Tokyo metropolitan area will still elevate apparent temperatures, though any late-day showers could further cap the peak. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with resolution hinging on the exact timing and extent of cloud breaks; the next JMA model updates will provide the clearest near-term signal for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$2,021終了日
2026/08/04マーケット開始日
Aug 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ETJapan Meteorological Agency forecasts mostly cloudy skies over Tokyo on August 4, supporting maximum temperatures near 28–29°C and aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those levels. Persistent cloud cover is expected to limit solar insolation and surface heating relative to seasonal climatology, where daily normals reach 31.8°C amid an above-normal summer pattern driven by a strengthened Pacific high. High humidity and urban heat-island effects in the Tokyo metropolitan area will still elevate apparent temperatures, though any late-day showers could further cap the peak. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with resolution hinging on the exact timing and extent of cloud breaks; the next JMA model updates will provide the clearest near-term signal for traders.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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