The closely matched odds between 22–23 and 24–25 Republican governors after the 2026 midterms reflect uncertainty across the 36 races on the ballot, where Republicans currently hold 26 governorships and defend 18 seats. Democrats target open or competitive positions in states such as Arizona, Kansas, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin, while Republicans defend vulnerable seats in New Hampshire and Vermont. Recent polling trends and special-election swings have highlighted midterm headwinds for the president's party, with analysts noting potential Democratic gains in battleground states alongside Republican advantages in open-seat contests like Iowa and Kansas. Term-limited incumbents and primary dynamics in several states add further variability, keeping trader consensus centered on modest net changes rather than large shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日22〜23 34%
24～25 31%
26–27 17%
22未満 14%
$667,361 Vol.
$667,361 Vol.
2026/11/03
22未満
14%
22〜23
34%
24～25
31%
26–27
17%
28〜29
9%
30～31
<1%
32以上
<1%
22〜23 34%
24～25 31%
26–27 17%
22未満 14%
$667,361 Vol.
$667,361 Vol.
2026/11/03
22未満
$45,042 Vol.
14%
22〜23
$5,799 Vol.
34%
24～25
$30,034 Vol.
31%
26–27
$14,093 Vol.
17%
28〜29
$553,895 Vol.
9%
30～31
$5,551 Vol.
<1%
32以上
$12,947 Vol.
<1%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.The closely matched odds between 22–23 and 24–25 Republican governors after the 2026 midterms reflect uncertainty across the 36 races on the ballot, where Republicans currently hold 26 governorships and defend 18 seats. Democrats target open or competitive positions in states such as Arizona, Kansas, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin, while Republicans defend vulnerable seats in New Hampshire and Vermont. Recent polling trends and special-election swings have highlighted midterm headwinds for the president's party, with analysts noting potential Democratic gains in battleground states alongside Republican advantages in open-seat contests like Iowa and Kansas. Term-limited incumbents and primary dynamics in several states add further variability, keeping trader consensus centered on modest net changes rather than large shifts.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Dec 15, 2025, 8:21 AM ET
音量
$667,361終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Dec 15, 2025, 8:21 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.The closely matched odds between 22–23 and 24–25 Republican governors after the 2026 midterms reflect uncertainty across the 36 races on the ballot, where Republicans currently hold 26 governorships and defend 18 seats. Democrats target open or competitive positions in states such as Arizona, Kansas, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin, while Republicans defend vulnerable seats in New Hampshire and Vermont. Recent polling trends and special-election swings have highlighted midterm headwinds for the president's party, with analysts noting potential Democratic gains in battleground states alongside Republican advantages in open-seat contests like Iowa and Kansas. Term-limited incumbents and primary dynamics in several states add further variability, keeping trader consensus centered on modest net changes rather than large shifts.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$667,361終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Dec 15, 2025, 8:21 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The closely matched odds between 22–23 and 24–25 Republican governors after the 2026 midterms reflect uncertainty across the 36 races on the ballot, where Republicans currently hold 26 governorships and defend 18 seats. Democrats target open or competitive positions in states such as Arizona, Kansas, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin, while Republicans defend vulnerable seats in New Hampshire and Vermont. Recent polling trends and special-election swings have highlighted midterm headwinds for the president's party, with analysts noting potential Democratic gains in battleground states alongside Republican advantages in open-seat contests like Iowa and Kansas. Term-limited incumbents and primary dynamics in several states add further variability, keeping trader consensus centered on modest net changes rather than large shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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