Republicans currently hold 26 governorships entering the 2026 cycle, defending 18 of the 36 seats up for election against an equal number held by Democrats. Ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato show a handful of genuine toss-ups in states including Nevada, Georgia, Wisconsin, and Iowa, plus leans in Arizona, Kansas, Michigan, and Alaska, where term-limited incumbents and open seats create flip opportunities for both parties. Local factors such as candidate quality, fundraising edges, and state-specific issues like water quality or affordability have kept most contests within narrow margins rather than producing a decisive national shift. This balanced exposure and limited projected net change sustain trader consensus around 22–25 Republican governors after November, with further separation likely hinging on late polling trends and turnout in the battlegrounds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日22〜23 28%
22未満 21%
24～25 20%
26–27 16%
$695,383 Vol.
$695,383 Vol.
2026/11/02
22未満
21%
22〜23
28%
24～25
20%
26–27
16%
28〜29
5%
30～31
1%
32以上
1%
22〜23 28%
22未満 21%
24～25 20%
26–27 16%
$695,383 Vol.
$695,383 Vol.
2026/11/02
22未満
$50,084 Vol.
21%
22〜23
$9,908 Vol.
28%
24～25
$34,478 Vol.
20%
26–27
$18,241 Vol.
16%
28〜29
$558,213 Vol.
5%
30～31
$8,608 Vol.
1%
32以上
$15,850 Vol.
1%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.Republicans currently hold 26 governorships entering the 2026 cycle, defending 18 of the 36 seats up for election against an equal number held by Democrats. Ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato show a handful of genuine toss-ups in states including Nevada, Georgia, Wisconsin, and Iowa, plus leans in Arizona, Kansas, Michigan, and Alaska, where term-limited incumbents and open seats create flip opportunities for both parties. Local factors such as candidate quality, fundraising edges, and state-specific issues like water quality or affordability have kept most contests within narrow margins rather than producing a decisive national shift. This balanced exposure and limited projected net change sustain trader consensus around 22–25 Republican governors after November, with further separation likely hinging on late polling trends and turnout in the battlegrounds.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Dec 15, 2025, 8:21 AM ET
音量
$695,383終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Dec 15, 2025, 8:21 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.Republicans currently hold 26 governorships entering the 2026 cycle, defending 18 of the 36 seats up for election against an equal number held by Democrats. Ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato show a handful of genuine toss-ups in states including Nevada, Georgia, Wisconsin, and Iowa, plus leans in Arizona, Kansas, Michigan, and Alaska, where term-limited incumbents and open seats create flip opportunities for both parties. Local factors such as candidate quality, fundraising edges, and state-specific issues like water quality or affordability have kept most contests within narrow margins rather than producing a decisive national shift. This balanced exposure and limited projected net change sustain trader consensus around 22–25 Republican governors after November, with further separation likely hinging on late polling trends and turnout in the battlegrounds.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$695,383終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Dec 15, 2025, 8:21 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Republicans currently hold 26 governorships entering the 2026 cycle, defending 18 of the 36 seats up for election against an equal number held by Democrats. Ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato show a handful of genuine toss-ups in states including Nevada, Georgia, Wisconsin, and Iowa, plus leans in Arizona, Kansas, Michigan, and Alaska, where term-limited incumbents and open seats create flip opportunities for both parties. Local factors such as candidate quality, fundraising edges, and state-specific issues like water quality or affordability have kept most contests within narrow margins rather than producing a decisive national shift. This balanced exposure and limited projected net change sustain trader consensus around 22–25 Republican governors after November, with further separation likely hinging on late polling trends and turnout in the battlegrounds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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