Republicans currently hold 26 governorships to Democrats’ 24 ahead of the November 2026 elections, with 18 seats from each party on the ballot across 36 states. Trader consensus clusters around modest net changes because both parties face comparable numbers of open seats and competitive contests, including Democratic-held positions in Arizona, Kansas, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin that Republicans view as pickup opportunities, and Republican-held seats in Georgia, Iowa, and Nevada that Democrats target. Recent primary outcomes, shifting ratings in toss-up races, and state-specific polling have kept implied probabilities for 22–23 or 24–25 Republican governors closely matched, with local factors such as candidate quality, fundraising, and regional economic conditions outweighing broader national trends in most forecasts. Scheduled general-election developments through early November could still alter the final count by several seats.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日22〜23 33%
24～25 24%
22未満 21%
26–27 17%
$696,049 Vol.
$696,049 Vol.
2026/11/02
22未満
21%
22〜23
33%
24～25
24%
26–27
17%
28〜29
5%
30～31
1%
32以上
1%
22〜23 33%
24～25 24%
22未満 21%
26–27 17%
$696,049 Vol.
$696,049 Vol.
2026/11/02
22未満
$50,124 Vol.
21%
22〜23
$10,420 Vol.
33%
24～25
$34,533 Vol.
24%
26–27
$18,241 Vol.
17%
28〜29
$558,233 Vol.
5%
30～31
$8,628 Vol.
1%
32以上
$15,870 Vol.
1%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.Republicans currently hold 26 governorships to Democrats’ 24 ahead of the November 2026 elections, with 18 seats from each party on the ballot across 36 states. Trader consensus clusters around modest net changes because both parties face comparable numbers of open seats and competitive contests, including Democratic-held positions in Arizona, Kansas, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin that Republicans view as pickup opportunities, and Republican-held seats in Georgia, Iowa, and Nevada that Democrats target. Recent primary outcomes, shifting ratings in toss-up races, and state-specific polling have kept implied probabilities for 22–23 or 24–25 Republican governors closely matched, with local factors such as candidate quality, fundraising, and regional economic conditions outweighing broader national trends in most forecasts. Scheduled general-election developments through early November could still alter the final count by several seats.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Dec 15, 2025, 8:21 AM ET
音量
$696,049終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Dec 15, 2025, 8:21 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.Republicans currently hold 26 governorships to Democrats’ 24 ahead of the November 2026 elections, with 18 seats from each party on the ballot across 36 states. Trader consensus clusters around modest net changes because both parties face comparable numbers of open seats and competitive contests, including Democratic-held positions in Arizona, Kansas, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin that Republicans view as pickup opportunities, and Republican-held seats in Georgia, Iowa, and Nevada that Democrats target. Recent primary outcomes, shifting ratings in toss-up races, and state-specific polling have kept implied probabilities for 22–23 or 24–25 Republican governors closely matched, with local factors such as candidate quality, fundraising, and regional economic conditions outweighing broader national trends in most forecasts. Scheduled general-election developments through early November could still alter the final count by several seats.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$696,049終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Dec 15, 2025, 8:21 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Republicans currently hold 26 governorships to Democrats’ 24 ahead of the November 2026 elections, with 18 seats from each party on the ballot across 36 states. Trader consensus clusters around modest net changes because both parties face comparable numbers of open seats and competitive contests, including Democratic-held positions in Arizona, Kansas, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin that Republicans view as pickup opportunities, and Republican-held seats in Georgia, Iowa, and Nevada that Democrats target. Recent primary outcomes, shifting ratings in toss-up races, and state-specific polling have kept implied probabilities for 22–23 or 24–25 Republican governors closely matched, with local factors such as candidate quality, fundraising, and regional economic conditions outweighing broader national trends in most forecasts. Scheduled general-election developments through early November could still alter the final count by several seats.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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