Recent early-May outbreaks, including an EF3 in Oklahoma and multiple EF1-EF2 events across the Southeast on May 6-7, have produced preliminary tornado totals tracking near the lower end of the 1991-2020 average of 265. National Weather Service reports place year-to-date activity only modestly above climatology through mid-May, with jet-stream steering and modest CAPE/shear profiles limiting widespread supercell development so far. Forecasters note that late-May patterns could still add 100-150 more tornadoes if the subtropical ridge weakens and allows stronger Gulf moisture return, keeping the 200-289 range tightly contested as new Storm Prediction Center model runs update daily.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日How many Tornadoes in the US in May?
How many Tornadoes in the US in May?
<200 42%
200–229 40%
230–259 37%
260–289 37%
新規
新規
2026/06/08
<200
34%
200–229
40%
230–259
37%
260–289
37%
290–319
11%
320–349
6%
350–379
8%
380–410
8%
410+
8%
<200 42%
200–229 40%
230–259 37%
260–289 37%
新規
新規
2026/06/08
<200
$228 Vol.
34%
200–229
$0 Vol.
40%
230–259
$0 Vol.
37%
260–289
$0 Vol.
37%
290–319
$0 Vol.
11%
320–349
$10 Vol.
6%
350–379
$10 Vol.
8%
380–410
$0 Vol.
8%
410+
$0 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the number of tornadoes recorded in the United States during the specified month, based on the monthly count published on the National Centers for Environmental Information U.S. Tornadoes Time Series page (see: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/tornadoes/time-series).
Only tornadoes appearing in the final NCEI dataset for that month will count.
As of market creation, the relevant report is scheduled to be released on June 8, 2026, at 5:01 PM GMT+1 or 11:01 AM ET (Release schedule: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/dyk/monthly-releases). The market will resolve based on the first relevant tornado count published on the NCEI tornado time-series page after this scheduled release time.
If the value published after this scheduled release time is labeled preliminary, it will still determine resolution, and the market will resolve independently of any subsequent revisions, corrections, or retroactive adjustments.
The market will not resolve based on any preliminary values published before the scheduled release time.
If no data is published by the scheduled release time, or if the NCEI website is temporarily unavailable, this market will remain open until that data is made available. If the relevant data is not made available by the date of the next scheduled publication ET, this market will resolve based on available data for the most recent prior month. If the NCEI website becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using another credible source.Recent early-May outbreaks, including an EF3 in Oklahoma and multiple EF1-EF2 events across the Southeast on May 6-7, have produced preliminary tornado totals tracking near the lower end of the 1991-2020 average of 265. National Weather Service reports place year-to-date activity only modestly above climatology through mid-May, with jet-stream steering and modest CAPE/shear profiles limiting widespread supercell development so far. Forecasters note that late-May patterns could still add 100-150 more tornadoes if the subtropical ridge weakens and allows stronger Gulf moisture return, keeping the 200-289 range tightly contested as new Storm Prediction Center model runs update daily.
This market will resolve according to the number of tornadoes recorded in the United States during the specified month, based on the monthly count published on the National Centers for Environmental Information U.S. Tornadoes Time Series page (see: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/tornadoes/time-series).
Only tornadoes appearing in the final NCEI dataset for that month will count.
As of market creation, the relevant report is scheduled to be released on June 8, 2026, at 5:01 PM GMT+1 or 11:01 AM ET (Release schedule: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/dyk/monthly-releases). The market will resolve based on the first relevant tornado count published on the NCEI tornado time-series page after this scheduled release time.
If the value published after this scheduled release time is labeled preliminary, it will still determine resolution, and the market will resolve independently of any subsequent revisions, corrections, or retroactive adjustments.
The market will not resolve based on any preliminary values published before the scheduled release time.
If no data is published by the scheduled release time, or if the NCEI website is temporarily unavailable, this market will remain open until that data is made available. If the relevant data is not made available by the date of the next scheduled publication ET, this market will resolve based on available data for the most recent prior month. If the NCEI website becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using another credible source.
Only tornadoes appearing in the final NCEI dataset for that month will count.
As of market creation, the relevant report is scheduled to be released on June 8, 2026, at 5:01 PM GMT+1 or 11:01 AM ET (Release schedule: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/dyk/monthly-releases). The market will resolve based on the first relevant tornado count published on the NCEI tornado time-series page after this scheduled release time.
If the value published after this scheduled release time is labeled preliminary, it will still determine resolution, and the market will resolve independently of any subsequent revisions, corrections, or retroactive adjustments.
The market will not resolve based on any preliminary values published before the scheduled release time.
If no data is published by the scheduled release time, or if the NCEI website is temporarily unavailable, this market will remain open until that data is made available. If the relevant data is not made available by the date of the next scheduled publication ET, this market will resolve based on available data for the most recent prior month. If the NCEI website becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using another credible source.
マーケット開始日： Apr 27, 2026, 4:37 PM ET
音量
$248終了日
2026/06/08マーケット開始日
Apr 27, 2026, 4:37 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of tornadoes recorded in the United States during the specified month, based on the monthly count published on the National Centers for Environmental Information U.S. Tornadoes Time Series page (see: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/tornadoes/time-series).
Only tornadoes appearing in the final NCEI dataset for that month will count.
As of market creation, the relevant report is scheduled to be released on June 8, 2026, at 5:01 PM GMT+1 or 11:01 AM ET (Release schedule: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/dyk/monthly-releases). The market will resolve based on the first relevant tornado count published on the NCEI tornado time-series page after this scheduled release time.
If the value published after this scheduled release time is labeled preliminary, it will still determine resolution, and the market will resolve independently of any subsequent revisions, corrections, or retroactive adjustments.
The market will not resolve based on any preliminary values published before the scheduled release time.
If no data is published by the scheduled release time, or if the NCEI website is temporarily unavailable, this market will remain open until that data is made available. If the relevant data is not made available by the date of the next scheduled publication ET, this market will resolve based on available data for the most recent prior month. If the NCEI website becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using another credible source.Recent early-May outbreaks, including an EF3 in Oklahoma and multiple EF1-EF2 events across the Southeast on May 6-7, have produced preliminary tornado totals tracking near the lower end of the 1991-2020 average of 265. National Weather Service reports place year-to-date activity only modestly above climatology through mid-May, with jet-stream steering and modest CAPE/shear profiles limiting widespread supercell development so far. Forecasters note that late-May patterns could still add 100-150 more tornadoes if the subtropical ridge weakens and allows stronger Gulf moisture return, keeping the 200-289 range tightly contested as new Storm Prediction Center model runs update daily.
This market will resolve according to the number of tornadoes recorded in the United States during the specified month, based on the monthly count published on the National Centers for Environmental Information U.S. Tornadoes Time Series page (see: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/tornadoes/time-series).
Only tornadoes appearing in the final NCEI dataset for that month will count.
As of market creation, the relevant report is scheduled to be released on June 8, 2026, at 5:01 PM GMT+1 or 11:01 AM ET (Release schedule: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/dyk/monthly-releases). The market will resolve based on the first relevant tornado count published on the NCEI tornado time-series page after this scheduled release time.
If the value published after this scheduled release time is labeled preliminary, it will still determine resolution, and the market will resolve independently of any subsequent revisions, corrections, or retroactive adjustments.
The market will not resolve based on any preliminary values published before the scheduled release time.
If no data is published by the scheduled release time, or if the NCEI website is temporarily unavailable, this market will remain open until that data is made available. If the relevant data is not made available by the date of the next scheduled publication ET, this market will resolve based on available data for the most recent prior month. If the NCEI website becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using another credible source.
Only tornadoes appearing in the final NCEI dataset for that month will count.
As of market creation, the relevant report is scheduled to be released on June 8, 2026, at 5:01 PM GMT+1 or 11:01 AM ET (Release schedule: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/dyk/monthly-releases). The market will resolve based on the first relevant tornado count published on the NCEI tornado time-series page after this scheduled release time.
If the value published after this scheduled release time is labeled preliminary, it will still determine resolution, and the market will resolve independently of any subsequent revisions, corrections, or retroactive adjustments.
The market will not resolve based on any preliminary values published before the scheduled release time.
If no data is published by the scheduled release time, or if the NCEI website is temporarily unavailable, this market will remain open until that data is made available. If the relevant data is not made available by the date of the next scheduled publication ET, this market will resolve based on available data for the most recent prior month. If the NCEI website becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using another credible source.
音量
$248終了日
2026/06/08マーケット開始日
Apr 27, 2026, 4:37 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent early-May outbreaks, including an EF3 in Oklahoma and multiple EF1-EF2 events across the Southeast on May 6-7, have produced preliminary tornado totals tracking near the lower end of the 1991-2020 average of 265. National Weather Service reports place year-to-date activity only modestly above climatology through mid-May, with jet-stream steering and modest CAPE/shear profiles limiting widespread supercell development so far. Forecasters note that late-May patterns could still add 100-150 more tornadoes if the subtropical ridge weakens and allows stronger Gulf moisture return, keeping the 200-289 range tightly contested as new Storm Prediction Center model runs update daily.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問