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icon for IA -01民主党予備選挙優勝者
政治·ハウス・プライマリー

IA -01民主党予備選挙優勝者

icon for IA -01民主党予備選挙優勝者
政治·ハウス・プライマリー

IA -01民主党予備選挙優勝者

クリスティーナ・ボハナン 94.2%

テイラー・ウェタック 3.1%

トラビス・テレル 1.7%

Polymarket

$20,699 Vol.

クリスティーナ・ボハナン 94.2%

テイラー・ウェタック 3.1%

トラビス・テレル 1.7%

Polymarket

$20,699 Vol.

クリスティーナ・ボハナン

$14,857 Vol.

94%

テイラー・ウェタック

$3,258 Vol.

3%

トラビス・テレル

$2,583 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Christina Bohannan holds a commanding lead in the Iowa 1st Congressional District Democratic primary due to her name recognition from two prior general-election runs against the Republican incumbent and consistent fundraising dominance, including over $1 million raised in the third quarter of 2025. The withdrawal of Taylor Wettach early in 2026 narrowed the field to Bohannan and Travis Terrell, consolidating support behind the former state representative and University of Iowa law professor ahead of the June 2 primary. Trader consensus reflected in current market pricing accounts for these structural advantages while leaving limited room for late shifts from Terrell's working-class messaging or any unexpected endorsements that could alter turnout dynamics in the remaining weeks.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$20,699
終了日
2026/06/02
マーケット開始日
Feb 25, 2026, 6:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Christina Bohannan holds a commanding lead in the Iowa 1st Congressional District Democratic primary due to her name recognition from two prior general-election runs against the Republican incumbent and consistent fundraising dominance, including over $1 million raised in the third quarter of 2025. The withdrawal of Taylor Wettach early in 2026 narrowed the field to Bohannan and Travis Terrell, consolidating support behind the former state representative and University of Iowa law professor ahead of the June 2 primary. Trader consensus reflected in current market pricing accounts for these structural advantages while leaving limited room for late shifts from Terrell's working-class messaging or any unexpected endorsements that could alter turnout dynamics in the remaining weeks.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$20,699
終了日
2026/06/02
マーケット開始日
Feb 25, 2026, 6:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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よくある質問

「IA -01民主党予備選挙優勝者」はPolymarket上の3個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「クリスティーナ・ボハナン」で94%、次いで「テイラー・ウェタック」が3%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、94¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に94%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「IA -01民主党予備選挙優勝者」は$20.7Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Feb 25, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「IA -01民主党予備選挙優勝者」で取引するには、このページに記載されている3個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「IA -01民主党予備選挙優勝者」の現在のフロントランナーは「クリスティーナ・ボハナン」で94%であり、市場がこの結果に94%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「テイラー・ウェタック」で3%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「IA -01民主党予備選挙優勝者」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。