SpaceX leads trader expectations for an IPO before 2027 at near-certain odds, fueled by confirmed bank interviews and Elon Musk’s acknowledgment of 2026 plans, while Anthropic’s targeted October or Q4 timeline and OpenAI’s confidential filing support 79% and 52% probabilities respectively. AI sector momentum, with companies valued at $850B–$1T seeking capital for compute and expansion, aligns with broader 2026 IPO recovery signals including stabilizing rates and renewed growth appetite. Databricks has signaled a possible push into 2027 amid market volatility, and Stripe remains cautious despite profitability. Key near-term catalysts include any S-1 filings, secondary liquidity updates, or macroeconomic shifts that could accelerate or delay listings for these high-profile names.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Discord IPO delayed due to SEC backlog and market conditions
Discord drops to 55%5%
Discord's IPO, initially targeted for early 2026 after confidential filing in January, has been delayed beyond June 30, 2026, due to SEC regulatory backlog and tech market conditions, with valuation reset to around $8 billion.
Databricks CEO says 2026 is a terrible year to go public, IPO delayed
Databricks dips to 19%1%
Databricks CEO Ali Ghodsi stated that 2026 is a terrible year to go public despite being IPO-ready, indicating a delay in the IPO and dampening market expectations for a 2026 listing.
SpaceX completes largest IPO in history, raising $75 billion
SpaceX completed its IPO on June 12, 2026, raising $75 billion at a $1.77 trillion valuation, setting a record and influencing market sentiment for other tech IPOs including Anthropic and OpenAI.
SpaceX confirms IPO pricing and share count, finalizing largest IPO ever
SpaceX rises to 100%2%
On June 11, 2026, SpaceX confirmed the pricing of its IPO at $135 per share for 555,555,555 shares, finalizing the largest IPO in history. This official announcement solidified the market's resolution to 'Yes' for SpaceX's IPO.
OpenAI confidentially files IPO paperwork with SEC targeting 2026 debut
OpenAI plunges to 30%21%
OpenAI confidentially filed its S-1 registration statement with the SEC on May 22, 2026, publicly confirmed on June 8, targeting a public debut as early as September 2026 with a valuation between $730 billion and $1 trillion.
OpenAI files confidentially for IPO, aiming for Q4 2026 debut
OpenAI jumps to 86%9%
OpenAI filed confidentially for its IPO on June 8, 2026, reaffirming its plan for a Q4 2026 public listing with a valuation north of $1 trillion, intensifying the IPO race with Anthropic and SpaceX.
OpenAI files confidential IPO prospectus, targeting September 2026 debut
OpenAI publicly confirmed its confidential IPO filing in early June 2026, aiming for a September 2026 public debut with a valuation up to $850 billion, intensifying market anticipation.
OpenAI confidentially files for IPO with SEC
OpenAI rises to 52%1%
OpenAI confidentially filed for an IPO, setting up a potential public debut between September and November 2026. This filing increased market confidence in OpenAI's IPO, reflected in a slight price increase.
OpenAI files confidential S-1 for IPO targeting late 2026
OpenAI confidentially filed its draft S-1 with the SEC on May 22, 2026, targeting a public listing in late 2026 with a valuation between $852 billion and $1 trillion. The IPO is driven by the company's capital needs and rapid revenue growth.
Databricks CEO reiterates no IPO in 2026, citing market saturation
Databricks drops to 77%8%
Databricks CEO Ali Ghodsi reiterated on June 4, 2026, that the company will not go public in 2026 due to a saturated IPO market, despite being IPO-ready and highly valued.
Databricks CEO signals 2026 IPO unlikely due to market saturation
Databricks CEO Ali Ghodsi stated in June 2026 that 2026 is a "terrible year to go public" due to an oversaturated IPO market, despite the company being IPO-ready and having strong financials, suggesting a possible delay beyond 2026.
Databricks CEO confirms IPO readiness but delays listing to later in 2026
Databricks plunges to 20%30%
Databricks CEO Ali Ghodsi stated in June 2026 that the company is IPO-ready but considers 2026 a difficult year to go public, suggesting a possible delay beyond 2026 despite strong fundamentals.
Databricks CEO says 2026 is a terrible year to go public, IPO delayed
Despite being IPO-ready, Databricks CEO Ali Ghodsi stated that 2026 is a poor year for IPOs due to market conditions, delaying the company's public listing plans.
Databricks CEO announces IPO plans for 2026 but delays due to market conditions
Databricks drops to 18%6%
Databricks CEO Ali Ghodsi confirmed plans to go public but called 2026 a 'terrible year to go public' due to market saturation, delaying the IPO despite readiness, which lowered market confidence.
SpaceX sets IPO price at $135 per share, targeting $75 billion raise
SpaceX jumps to 100%5%
SpaceX announced its IPO price at $135 per share in early June 2026, aiming to raise a record $75 billion. This pricing confirmed the IPO's imminent launch and drove the market price to 100% for SpaceX.
SpaceX announces IPO price at $135 per share, targeting $75 billion raise
SpaceX rises to 100%2%
SpaceX set its IPO price at $135 per share, aiming to raise $75 billion and achieve a $1.77 trillion valuation, confirming its June 2026 public listing plans.
SpaceX sets IPO price at $135 per share targeting $75 billion raise
SpaceX rises to 99%3%
SpaceX announced an IPO price of $135 per share on June 2, 2026, aiming to raise a record $75 billion and valuing the company at $1.77 trillion. This pricing confirmed the company's position for the largest IPO ever, driving market confidence to near certainty.
Anthropic confidentially files for IPO targeting October 2026 listing
Anthropic surges to 76%26%
Anthropic filed a confidential S-1 with the SEC on June 1, 2026, aiming for a valuation near $965 billion and a public listing as early as October 2026. This filing intensified the AI IPO race and increased market expectations for Anthropic's IPO timing and valuation.
OpenAI confidentially files for IPO with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley
OpenAI rises to 53%3%
OpenAI filed confidentially for an IPO in early June 2026, targeting a public debut as soon as September 2026 with a valuation between $730 billion and $850 billion, intensifying the AI IPO race.
Anthropic files confidential draft S-1 for IPO
Anthropic dips to 83%4%
Anthropic filed a confidential draft S-1 with the SEC on June 1, 2026, marking a formal step toward its anticipated IPO in late 2026, reinforcing market confidence in its public debut.
Anthropic confidentially files draft S-1 for IPO targeting $965 billion valuation
Anthropic confidentially submitted a draft registration statement on Form S-1 to the SEC on June 1, 2026, marking a significant step toward a potential IPO in late 2026 with a near $1 trillion valuation and strong revenue growth.
Anthropic confidentially files draft IPO registration with SEC
Anthropic submitted a confidential draft Form S-1 registration statement to the SEC, preparing for a potential IPO in October 2026 with a valuation near $965 billion.
Anthropic confidentially files for US IPO amid AI market surge
Anthropic surges to 90%40%
Anthropic confidentially filed for a U.S. IPO, joining SpaceX and OpenAI in a highly anticipated wave of AI-related public offerings, with a valuation near $1 trillion.
Anthropic confidentially files S-1 with SEC for IPO
Anthropic surges to 87%22%
Anthropic confidentially submitted its draft S-1 registration statement to the SEC, targeting an October 2026 IPO at a near-$1 trillion valuation, confirming strong market expectations for its public debut.
Shein shifts IPO plans to Hong Kong after London delays
Shein, after facing regulatory and political hurdles in London, is now working towards an IPO listing in Hong Kong in 2026, leveraging proximity to its supply chain and a smoother regulatory environment.
Anthropic raises $65 billion at $965 billion valuation ahead of IPO
Anthropic raised $65 billion in late May 2026 at a $965 billion valuation, demonstrating strong investor demand and advancing its IPO preparations for late 2026.
OpenAI confidentially files for IPO with SEC
OpenAI rises to 53%2%
OpenAI confidentially filed its S-1 IPO prospectus with the SEC on May 22, 2026, targeting a Q4 2026 public listing at a valuation between $852 billion and $1 trillion, confirming strong market interest.
OpenAI confidentially files S-1 IPO prospectus with SEC
OpenAI surges to 77%28%
On May 22, 2026, OpenAI confidentially filed its S-1 IPO prospectus with the SEC, targeting a Q4 2026 public listing at a valuation between $852 billion and $1 trillion, confirming strong IPO progress.
OpenAI prepares confidential IPO filing for 2026 debut
OpenAI surges to 56%25%
OpenAI prepared to file confidentially for an IPO in May 2026, working with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley, aiming for a public debut as soon as September 2026 with a valuation up to $850 billion.
SpaceX publicly files IPO prospectus and plans Nasdaq listing
SpaceX jumps to 95%10%
SpaceX publicly circulated its IPO prospectus in May 2026, confirming plans to list on Nasdaq under ticker SPCX. The filing disclosed $18.67 billion in 2025 revenue and a $1.75 trillion valuation, significantly boosting market confidence and price.
OpenAI preparing confidential IPO filing for late 2026
OpenAI surges to 76%44%
OpenAI was reported to be preparing to file confidentially for an IPO, working with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley, increasing market confidence in a late 2026 IPO.
SpaceX files for IPO revealing $18 billion revenue in 2025
SpaceX filed its S-1 with the SEC on May 20, 2026, targeting a valuation between $1.75 trillion and $2 trillion, marking one of the largest IPOs in history. The filing disclosed $18 billion in 2025 revenue, with Starlink as the main revenue driver, fueling market confidence in the IPO.
OpenAI prepares to file confidential IPO prospectus
OpenAI jumps to 49%11%
Reports on May 20, 2026, indicated OpenAI was preparing to confidentially file its IPO prospectus imminently, signaling concrete progress toward a public offering and sparking market optimism about a 2026 IPO.
OpenAI prepares IPO filing with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley
OpenAI jumps to 41%13%
OpenAI is working with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley to prepare IPO paperwork in May 2026, indicating imminent public offering plans and influencing market pricing.
OpenAI prepares confidential IPO filing for late 2026 debut
OpenAI is preparing to file confidentially for an IPO in 2026, working with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley, targeting a public debut possibly as early as September 2026 with a valuation near $850 billion.
Anthropic targets October 2026 IPO, hires law firm Wilson Sonsini
Anthropic surges to 88%18%
Anthropic is preparing for an IPO as early as October 2026, having hired Wilson Sonsini for legal and regulatory preparation, signaling serious intent to go public and boosting market confidence.
Anthropic announces $950 billion valuation pre-IPO investment opportunity
Anthropic jumps to 78%6%
Anthropic's pre-IPO investment round at a $950 billion valuation indicated strong investor interest and readiness for a large IPO, supporting market confidence in a 2026 public offering.
Remote acquires expense management platform Atlas to bolster HR and payroll
Remote drops to 22%8%
Remote acquired Atlas to enhance its HR and payroll platform, signaling growth but with no confirmed IPO plans, contributing to low market confidence in a near-term IPO.
Shein faces regulatory investigations and IPO delays amid valuation pressure
Shein's IPO timeline has been delayed due to regulatory investigations in Europe and the US, including data privacy and labor practice concerns. These challenges have pressured its valuation and complicated its planned Hong Kong or London IPO in 2026.
Fannie Mae investors optimistic despite IPO delays
Fannie Mae rises to 15%3%
Despite regulatory and conservatorship complexities delaying a near-term IPO, investors remain optimistic about Fannie Mae's eventual public offering. Market prices reflect low probability of a 2026 IPO but acknowledge ongoing capital accumulation and regulatory progress.
Rippling shows no IPO filing or announcement, CEO says no near-term plans
Rippling plunges to 26%24%
Rippling has not filed for an IPO and CEO Parker Conrad stated that an IPO is not in near-term plans, with analysts expecting a 2027 or later listing.
Canva fined $800k for late financial filings ahead of IPO
Canva dips to 21%4%
In April 2026, Australian regulator ASIC fined Canva nearly $800,000 for late financial report filings, raising concerns about governance ahead of its planned IPO, contributing to a decline in market confidence.
Canva announces AI-driven platform transformation and acquisition spree
Canva drops to 11%12%
In April 2026, Canva announced a strategic pivot to AI-powered design ecosystem and acquired multiple AI startups, delaying its IPO to 2027 to solidify its new business model, impacting market confidence negatively in the short term.
Shein confirms IPO plans amid regulatory challenges
SHEIN plunges to 20%25%
Shein confirmed it will proceed with IPO plans, shifting focus to a London or Hong Kong listing after US and UK regulatory hurdles, aiming for a 2026 IPO with a valuation between $30-50 billion.
SpaceX confidentially files S-1 for IPO targeting June 2026
SpaceX jumps to 85%11%
SpaceX confidentially filed its S-1 with the SEC in early April 2026, preparing for a June IPO. This filing was a critical step toward the public offering and drove significant market price increases for SpaceX's IPO outcome.
SpaceX confidentially files for IPO, setting stage for record offering
SpaceX filed confidentially for its IPO on April 1, 2026, creating a high-profile IPO environment that influenced investor sentiment and timing expectations for other AI-related IPOs including Anthropic and OpenAI.
SpaceX confidentially files IPO with SEC
SpaceX rises to 94%1%
SpaceX submitted a confidential IPO filing to the SEC on April 1, 2026, officially starting the regulatory process for its planned June IPO, which boosted market confidence to near certainty.
Databricks announces $850 million UK investment, signals IPO readiness
Databricks rises to 20%1%
Databricks announced a major $850 million investment in the UK in April 2026, expanding its office footprint and signaling readiness for an IPO. CEO Ali Ghodsi has stated the company is IPO-ready, though market conditions may delay the listing.
Databricks announces $850 million UK investment and expands London HQ
Databricks plunges to 32%18%
Databricks announced a major $850 million investment in the UK and expanded its London headquarters, signaling ongoing growth and IPO readiness, supporting market expectations for a 2026 IPO.
Discord sets IPO date for March 31, 2026
Discord jumps to 65%6%
Discord announced its IPO date as March 31, 2026, marking a key milestone for the company transitioning to public markets. This confirmation supported market confidence and price increases in the prediction market.
Whoop raises $575 million at $10.1 billion valuation, signals IPO ahead
Whoop raised $575 million in a Series G funding round at a $10.1 billion valuation, with CEO Will Ahmed indicating this is likely the last private round before an IPO, supported by strong subscription growth and cash flow positivity.
Mistral AI raises $830 million debt for data center expansion
Mistral AI rises to 20%4%
Mistral AI secured $830 million in debt financing in March 2026 to expand data center capacity near Paris and Sweden, signaling growth but with no immediate IPO plans. The CEO has indicated the IPO is a long-term goal, not imminent, which aligns with the market's low IPO probability for 2026.
OpenAI raises additional $10 billion in funding round
OpenAI jumps to 49%5%
OpenAI secured an additional $10 billion in funding, increasing its valuation and fueling speculation about a 2026 IPO, positively impacting market prices for OpenAI's IPO outcome.
Remote reaches peak market interest amid IPO speculation
Remote surges to 60%45%
Remote's market price peaked in mid-March 2026 amid speculation about potential IPO or acquisition, but no confirmed IPO filing or date has been announced, leading to declining confidence later.
Whoop announces 600-person hiring drive signaling IPO plans
Whoop announced plans to expand its workforce by 75% in 2026, a clear signal of intent to pursue a public listing, which increased market speculation about a near-term IPO.
OpenAI announces strategic partnership with Amazon and Pentagon deal
OpenAI surges to 69%18%
OpenAI announced a strategic partnership with Amazon and a deal with the Pentagon, boosting confidence in its growth and IPO prospects, contributing to price increases in its IPO market.
Supreme Court ruling on Trump tariffs complicates Shein IPO plans
SHEIN plunges to 24%17%
A Supreme Court ruling on tariffs imposed during the Trump administration created regulatory challenges for Shein, delaying its IPO plans. The company is pursuing a Hong Kong listing but faces regulatory hurdles, impacting market confidence in a near-term IPO.
Shein confirms IPO plans amid regulatory and market challenges
SHEIN rises to 38%1%
Shein confirmed plans to proceed with an IPO, shifting focus from a London listing to Hong Kong due to regulatory hurdles. The company faces scrutiny over labor and environmental issues, impacting investor sentiment and IPO timing.
Databricks raises $4 billion at $134 billion valuation, signals IPO readiness
Databricks plunges to 20%30%
Databricks closed a $4 billion Series L funding round at a $134 billion valuation in December 2025 and added $1.8 billion in debt financing in early 2026, signaling readiness for an IPO likely in late 2026 or early 2027.
Databricks CEO says 2026 is a terrible year to go public, IPO delayed
Databricks drops to 50%8%
Databricks CEO Ali Ghodsi stated in February 2026 that 2026 is a terrible year to go public, signaling a delay in the IPO despite being IPO-ready, causing price volatility.
SpaceX merges with xAI ahead of IPO
SpaceX jumps to 84%10%
SpaceX completed an all-stock merger with xAI in February 2026, increasing its valuation to $1.25 trillion and integrating AI capabilities, which strengthened its IPO narrative and market valuation.
Shein files for IPO in Hong Kong after London plans stall
SHEIN plunges to 18%27%
Shein shifted its IPO plans from London to Hong Kong due to regulatory and geopolitical challenges, filing officially for a 2026 IPO with an expected valuation between $30 and $50 billion. The company faces scrutiny over labor and environmental practices.
Shein confirms IPO plans amid regulatory and geopolitical challenges
SHEIN plunges to 19%26%
Shein confirmed plans to proceed with an IPO, targeting a 2026 listing likely in Hong Kong after a stalled London IPO attempt, facing regulatory scrutiny and geopolitical risks that impact timing and valuation.
Mistral AI CEO states IPO is a long-term plan, not imminent
Mistral AI's CEO clarified in early 2026 that while an IPO is the plan, it is a long-term goal and not expected imminently, reflecting the company's current focus on private funding and growth.
OpenAI restructures into Public Benefit Corporation clearing IPO path
OpenAI rises to 53%2%
In October 2025, OpenAI restructured into a Public Benefit Corporation, enabling it to pursue an IPO. This corporate change was a key step in preparing for a public offering and attracted significant institutional investment interest.
Rippling CEO states IPO not in near-term plans
Rippling plunges to 28%22%
In a May 2025 interview and subsequent reports through 2026, Rippling's CEO Parker Conrad publicly stated that an IPO is not planned in the near term, with analysts expecting a public offering in 2027 or 2028. This stance contributed to low market confidence in a 2026 IPO for Rippling.
Databricks secures $1.8 billion debt financing ahead of IPO
Databricks raised $1.8 billion in additional debt financing led by JPMorgan in January 2026, signaling aggressive IPO preparation and readiness to list on Nasdaq when market conditions align.
Databricks raises $1.8 billion in debt signaling IPO preparation
Databricks plunges to 23%27%
Databricks secured $1.8 billion in additional debt financing led by JPMorgan in January 2026, indicating accelerated IPO preparation, though CEO Ali Ghodsi later stated 2026 is a "terrible year to go public," suggesting a delay.
Databricks secures $1.8 billion debt financing led by JPMorgan
Databricks raised $1.8 billion in debt financing, widely interpreted as a move to prepare for an IPO. This financial maneuver supports the company's readiness for a public offering when market conditions are favorable.
Discord files confidentially for US IPO targeting Q1 2026 debut
Discord jumps to 62%9%
Discord confidentially filed for a US IPO with Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan Chase as lead underwriters, aiming for a public debut in early 2026. This filing confirmed Discord's IPO plans and boosted market expectations for a 2026 listing.
Discord confidentially files for U.S. IPO
Discord rises to 55%2%
Discord filed confidentially for a U.S. IPO in early January 2026, engaging Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan Chase as underwriters, aiming for a public debut potentially in Q1 or Q2 2026, though timing remains uncertain.
Discord confidentially files for US IPO
Discord rises to 55%2%
Discord confidentially filed for a US IPO, marking a concrete step toward going public and causing a rise in market expectations for a 2026 IPO.
Discord confidentially files for IPO with Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan
Discord rises to 55%2%
Discord filed confidentially for a US IPO on January 6, 2026, with Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan Chase as underwriters, sparking market optimism for a Q1/Q2 2026 IPO despite later delays.
Databricks announces $4 billion Series L funding at $134 billion valuation
Databricks plunges to 20%30%
Databricks closed a $4 billion Series L funding round at a $134 billion valuation, signaling strong investor confidence and preparation for a potential IPO. CEO Ali Ghodsi indicated readiness for a public listing when market conditions improve.
Databricks closes $4 billion Series L funding at $134 billion valuation
Databricks rises to 51%1%
Databricks announced a $4 billion Series L funding round at a $134 billion valuation, signaling strong institutional support and positioning the company for an eventual IPO. This funding round increased investor confidence in a 2026 IPO, reflected in rising market prices.
SpaceX pursues 2026 IPO raising over $30 billion
SpaceX surges to 80%42%
SpaceX announced plans to pursue an IPO in 2026 aiming to raise significantly above $30 billion, signaling the start of its public offering preparations and boosting market confidence in its IPO prospects.
Anthropic hires law firm to prepare for 2026 IPO
Anthropic engaged Wilson Sonsini in December 2025 to lead IPO preparations, signaling serious intent to go public in 2026. This news boosted market confidence and price for Anthropic's IPO prospects.
Anthropic prepares IPO with fresh private funding over $300 billion
In December 2025, Anthropic was reported to be preparing for an IPO, backed by fresh private funding exceeding $300 billion, indicating strong growth and investor interest ahead of its 2026 IPO filing.
Anthropic prepares for IPO with legal and banking teams engaged
Anthropic dips to 46%4%
Anthropic began preparations for an IPO by hiring lawyers and engaging investment banks, signaling intent to go public possibly in 2026. This early move increased market speculation and price for Anthropic's IPO outcome.
Anthropic hires lawyers and talks to investment banks for IPO
Anthropic jumps to 56%6%
Anthropic was reported by Financial Times to have hired lawyers and engaged investment banks in preparation for an IPO, signaling early steps toward a public offering and driving initial market optimism.
Anthropic hires law firm to prepare for 2026 IPO
Anthropic engaged Wilson Sonsini to prepare for an IPO potentially as early as 2026, signaling early steps toward going public and capitalizing on investor interest in AI.
Canva's largest investor signals readiness for second-half 2026 IPO
Canva plunges to 23%24%
Blackbird, Canva's largest venture investor, told its LPs in November 2025 that Canva is ready for a second-half 2026 IPO, though no public filing or date has been announced.
Canva COO signals imminent IPO within next couple of years
Canva's COO Cliff Obrecht stated in November 2025 that an IPO is probably imminent within the next couple of years, fueling market expectations for a 2026 IPO. This announcement increased investor interest and price optimism for Canva's IPO.
Whoop CEO confirms IPO consideration within two years
Whoop's CEO Will Ahmed publicly stated the company is considering going public within two years, signaling early IPO plans and driving market interest in Whoop's public listing prospects.
Whoop CEO signals IPO consideration in 2026
Whoop's founder and CEO Will Ahmed publicly stated in November 2025 that the company is considering going public, signaling early market expectations for an IPO in 2026. This announcement contributed to initial market interest in Whoop's IPO prospects.
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