Recent opinion polls for Israel's October 27 legislative election project Shas winning 7–9 seats on average, consistent with the market's leading 8–9 outcome at 41.5% and the secondary 10–11 range. Shas, the Sephardi ultra-Orthodox party led by Aryeh Deri, remains anchored in the Netanyahu-aligned bloc amid broader deadlock, with that coalition averaging below 61 seats across surveys. Recent list submissions and surplus agreements have not materially shifted its standing, while haredi turnout expectations and competition from other religious parties continue to cap upside. Lower-probability outcomes below 7 seats reflect risks from bloc fragmentation or turnout shortfalls, though polling stability in September has kept 8–9 as trader consensus.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8～9 40%
10〜11 26%
12以上 20%
6〜7 17%
新規
新規
2026/11/30
6未満
5%
6〜7
17%
8～9
40%
10〜11
23%
12以上
16%
8～9 40%
10〜11 26%
12以上 20%
6〜7 17%
新規
新規
2026/11/30
6未満
$484 Vol.
5%
6〜7
$1,390 Vol.
17%
8～9
$917 Vol.
40%
10〜11
$721 Vol.
23%
12以上
$1,493 Vol.
16%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Shas in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Shas in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent opinion polls for Israel's October 27 legislative election project Shas winning 7–9 seats on average, consistent with the market's leading 8–9 outcome at 41.5% and the secondary 10–11 range. Shas, the Sephardi ultra-Orthodox party led by Aryeh Deri, remains anchored in the Netanyahu-aligned bloc amid broader deadlock, with that coalition averaging below 61 seats across surveys. Recent list submissions and surplus agreements have not materially shifted its standing, while haredi turnout expectations and competition from other religious parties continue to cap upside. Lower-probability outcomes below 7 seats reflect risks from bloc fragmentation or turnout shortfalls, though polling stability in September has kept 8–9 as trader consensus.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Shas in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Shas in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Shas in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Shas in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
マーケット開始日： Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
音量
$5,006終了日
2026/10/27マーケット開始日
Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Shas in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Shas in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent opinion polls for Israel's October 27 legislative election project Shas winning 7–9 seats on average, consistent with the market's leading 8–9 outcome at 41.5% and the secondary 10–11 range. Shas, the Sephardi ultra-Orthodox party led by Aryeh Deri, remains anchored in the Netanyahu-aligned bloc amid broader deadlock, with that coalition averaging below 61 seats across surveys. Recent list submissions and surplus agreements have not materially shifted its standing, while haredi turnout expectations and competition from other religious parties continue to cap upside. Lower-probability outcomes below 7 seats reflect risks from bloc fragmentation or turnout shortfalls, though polling stability in September has kept 8–9 as trader consensus.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Shas in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Shas in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Shas in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Shas in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
音量
$5,006終了日
2026/10/27マーケット開始日
Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Recent opinion polls for Israel's October 27 legislative election project Shas winning 7–9 seats on average, consistent with the market's leading 8–9 outcome at 41.5% and the secondary 10–11 range. Shas, the Sephardi ultra-Orthodox party led by Aryeh Deri, remains anchored in the Netanyahu-aligned bloc amid broader deadlock, with that coalition averaging below 61 seats across surveys. Recent list submissions and surplus agreements have not materially shifted its standing, while haredi turnout expectations and competition from other religious parties continue to cap upside. Lower-probability outcomes below 7 seats reflect risks from bloc fragmentation or turnout shortfalls, though polling stability in September has kept 8–9 as trader consensus.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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