Recent redistricting efforts in Louisiana, following the U.S. Supreme Court's April 29 ruling that struck down the state's congressional map as an unconstitutional racial gerrymander, have shifted trader consensus toward a Republican victory in the LA-06 House race. Governor Jeff Landry suspended the May 16 jungle primary, allowing the GOP-controlled legislature to advance new boundaries that would reshape the district—currently held by Democratic incumbent Cleo Fields—into a more Republican-leaning seat ahead of the November 3 general election. Ongoing Senate and House debates on revised maps, combined with pending federal lawsuits over the process, underscore the uncertainty, though the expected outcome of these changes underpins the current implied probabilities in the market.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$57,801 Vol.
$57,801 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
78%
民主党
24%
$57,801 Vol.
$57,801 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$31,353 Vol.
78%
民主党
$26,448 Vol.
24%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent redistricting efforts in Louisiana, following the U.S. Supreme Court's April 29 ruling that struck down the state's congressional map as an unconstitutional racial gerrymander, have shifted trader consensus toward a Republican victory in the LA-06 House race. Governor Jeff Landry suspended the May 16 jungle primary, allowing the GOP-controlled legislature to advance new boundaries that would reshape the district—currently held by Democratic incumbent Cleo Fields—into a more Republican-leaning seat ahead of the November 3 general election. Ongoing Senate and House debates on revised maps, combined with pending federal lawsuits over the process, underscore the uncertainty, though the expected outcome of these changes underpins the current implied probabilities in the market.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$57,801終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent redistricting efforts in Louisiana, following the U.S. Supreme Court's April 29 ruling that struck down the state's congressional map as an unconstitutional racial gerrymander, have shifted trader consensus toward a Republican victory in the LA-06 House race. Governor Jeff Landry suspended the May 16 jungle primary, allowing the GOP-controlled legislature to advance new boundaries that would reshape the district—currently held by Democratic incumbent Cleo Fields—into a more Republican-leaning seat ahead of the November 3 general election. Ongoing Senate and House debates on revised maps, combined with pending federal lawsuits over the process, underscore the uncertainty, though the expected outcome of these changes underpins the current implied probabilities in the market.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$57,801終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent redistricting efforts in Louisiana, following the U.S. Supreme Court's April 29 ruling that struck down the state's congressional map as an unconstitutional racial gerrymander, have shifted trader consensus toward a Republican victory in the LA-06 House race. Governor Jeff Landry suspended the May 16 jungle primary, allowing the GOP-controlled legislature to advance new boundaries that would reshape the district—currently held by Democratic incumbent Cleo Fields—into a more Republican-leaning seat ahead of the November 3 general election. Ongoing Senate and House debates on revised maps, combined with pending federal lawsuits over the process, underscore the uncertainty, though the expected outcome of these changes underpins the current implied probabilities in the market.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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